Free Basketball Betting Picks - April 21, 2009

We split our picks yesterday to grab one unit in profit. We are hitting 57% over the last eight days and we are 245-197 (+83.1 units) over the last five months. A 5-unit play anchors our NBA selections today.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
MLB	20-14 Season-to-Date	59%	+$1410
NBA	245-197 last 442 picks	55%	+$8310
NFL	72-44 last 116 picks	62%	+$7320
NHL	27-25 last 52 picks	52%	+$1250
TOTAL			+$18290

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Detroit at Cleveland (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Cleveland -11 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Cleveland Cavaliers opened a big lead early and cruised over the hapless Pistons. This Pistons’ team is a far cry from what we have seen in the playoffs in years past. The Cavs are the real deal, and that has been particularly true at home where they legitimately lost just one game all season, as they lost the second in the home finale with everyone sitting. The Cavs had an NBA high 28 double-digit home wins on the season, so when this team is focused it matters little, and it's the playoffs, so their focus is extremely high. Number one seeds have dominated No. 8 seeds as a double-digit favorite, going 15-5 ATS in the last 21 occurrences and I don't expect that to change here. Cleveland with another big home win in this one.

The Houston Rockets completely dominated the Portland Trailblazers in game one. It was the biggest home loss of the season for the Blazers who had lost just seven games at homes all season. One would expect this team to come out with all guns “blazing” in game two. The Rockets shot nearly 60% in the game, and that won't come close to happening in game two. I have a huge NBA Playoffs indicator that will be alive and active for this game. Our indicator deal with teams coming off a big loss, and this wrinkle has produced 65.6% winners since the 1990 Playoffs, with 64 games in the database. I look for Portland to win game two convincingly, and get the cover.

Results: 1-1

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Check out our updated NBA record.
• Read our 2008 season basketball handicapping preview here.
• Check out our updated sports betting NBA.
• Check out our updated basketball Game-of-Day Analysis.
• Check out 2008 NBA basketball prior picks results here.
• Hop over to our NBA power ratings here.
• Hop over to our NBA predictions here.
• Check out our updated NBA odds and lines.
• View our NBA ATS records here.
• Read our blog basketball picks here.

Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-20-2009
The Celtics felt the loss of Kevin Garnett as they struggled against the Bulls in game one. The Celtics got poor performances from their primary scoring options in Ray Allen, and Paul Pierce as well a...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-17-2009
The Celtics' chance of a repeat took a blow when it was confirmed that Kevin Garnett would miss this series, and likely the rest of the playoffs altogether. That isn't the death blow for the C...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-15-2009
The season finale for both these teams couldn't come soon enough. The Pacers have had some glorifying momemts, beating the Lakers, Cavs, Magic and Celtics. But that is one of the issues with this ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-13-2009
Although it is too late for both these teams to do anything this season, the Wizards have not earned the right to be favored here. The Wizards have been favored 14 times on the season, and have been 4...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-12-2009
Yes, the Mavs have had their road struggles this year. But, this team right now has something to play for and they are playing with purpose. A win today gives Dallas sole possession of the sixth seed ...