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Nba Prediction - April 20, 2009

We took the night off last night and come back with a pair of premium picks today including a 4-unit play. Over the last week, we are hitting 58% and since mid-November, our NBA picks are 244-196 for +82.1 units.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT WINS-LOSSES % NET
MLB 20-14 Season-to-Date 59% +$1410
NBA 244-196 last 440 picks 55% +$8210
NFL 72-44 last 116 picks 62% +$7320
NHL 26-24 last 50 picks 52% +$1500
TOTAL     +$18440

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Chicago at Boston (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston -8.5 (-105) (risk 3 to win 2.9)

The Celtics felt the loss of Kevin Garnett as they struggled against the Bulls in game one. The Celtics got poor performances from their primary scoring options in Ray Allen, and Paul Pierce as well as their No. 1 weapon off the bench in Eddie House. The trio combined to shoot a dismal 11-41 for 26.8%, yet it was almost good enough to get a win. I would expect the trio to have a much better game, which won't take much to not only win the game, but win it big. If you consider the fact that if this offensive trio shoots 41% combined, which is still well below average, Boston wins this game by 10 or more! It will take more than the loss of Garnett for the Bulls to take down the Celtics, and I'm going with Boston for a big game two win.
Game: Dallas at San Antonio (9:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on San Antonio -6 (+100) (risk 4 to win 4)
The Spurs don't have Manu Ginobli, and Tim Duncan is playing at half-speed with ailing knees. That wasn't why they lost game one. They lost game one because uncharacteristically, the Spurs didn't defend, and the Mavs shot 54% for the game. Duncan contributed 27 points and nine boards, so he wasn't the reason. Parker had 24 points and eight assists. It came down to one thing - the Spurs did not get out and defend as they have for the last 10 years, and the NBA's No. 2 ranked defense in points allowed, went down because of it. How bad was it? In their last 20 home games, the Spurs allowed 100 or more points to just two teams - the Lakers and the Golden State Warriors. Does Ginobli's absence weaken the Spurs defense that much? Hardly! The Spurs played 23 games down the stretch, from February 23 on, without Ginobli in the lineup, and actually gave up just 87.9 points per game - much better than their season average. I look for a better-than-typical San Antonio defense here, and the Spurs to get the win and cover.

Results: 1-1

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-27-2009
This has been a strange series through the first three games. Atlanta made a game one statement by blowing out the Heat by 26 points, only to come back on their home court and lose by 15. Then coming ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-26-2009
After many left them for dead after their game one upset loss, Boston has come roaring back to take homecourt advantage back. It hasn't been KG whose on the bench. It hasn't been Pierce or All...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-25-2009
The Denver Nuggets won the first two played in Denver going away, to go up 2-0 in the series. The Nuggets are a different team on the road however, as their now 35-8 mark at home, turns to 21-20 on th...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-24-2009
The Cleveland Cavaliers have blown through their home schedule and destroyed everyone, to the tune of a double-digit winning margin. They have been successful on the road, but against the teams in thi...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-23-2009
The Dallas Mavericks accomplished what they set out to do and that was to steal a game in San Antonio. They negated the home-court advantage with the win, and come home with a chance to close out the ...

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