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Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Chicago at Washington (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 193.5 -110

Chicago is tied with Cleveland for second place in the East but they hold the tie breaker. They need to keep winning to hold on to that spot. They should be able to manhandle the struggling Wizards who are still without Arenas and Butler. They've lost four in a row at home. Both of these teams tend towards the OVER (Chicago 21-18 OVER on the road, Washington 22-16 OVER at home). This total opened at 197 and has plummeted down to its current line, giving us even more value. Yes, Chicago is off a great defensive effort vs. Charlotte, holdin gthem to 81 points. But, the Bulls are 18-8 OVER the past two seasons after holding an opponent to 85 or less points. Washington is 13-3 OVER after 3+ UNDERs over that same span. They are also 11-2 OVER off a road win this season.

Yes, Boston is 11-28 on the road this season. But, they are 26-11 ATS in those games! Orlando is 23-16 at home but under .500 ATS. Orlando will win, but by 13 points? We think not. Boston is 16-7 ATS vs. winning teams on the road and a perfect 10-0 ATS as double-digit road dog! This line is inflated thanks to Boston's terrible play of late (lost six in a row). But, the Celts are also a perfect 10-0 ATS this season on the road after 4+ straight losses. Orlando is 15-7 UNDER in games with a total posted between 190-200 and 26-17 UNDER as a favorite (including 12-2 UNDER when favored at home by 6.5-12 points). The Magic are also 16-5 UNDER at home vs. losing teams including 8-1 UNDER vs. teams under 40% SU.