Free Nba Basketball Pick - April 12, 2010

We passed on the NBA last night and return with a monster today of eight 4-unit picks! Over the last month, our NBA picks are hitting just under 60% at 35-25 for +22 units.

Join the party with Dog's Parlay Club! The Parlay Club is here and to celebrate, I am providing these premium picks free in April. Sound good? To get down on the Parlay Club picks in April free, go here. 

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	46-29 last 75 picks	61%	+$4060
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
NBA	35-25 last 60 picks	58%	+$2210
NHL	309-226 last 535 picks	58%	+$16780
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$42950

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Miami at Philadelphia (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 193.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Heat have been impressive on the defensive end during their late surge that shows them at 10-1 over their last 11 games. The Heat have strangled opponents, holding them to 86.1 points per game during the stretch, not counting overtime minutes. That means the offense here would have to generate 197+ to push this one OVER the total, if they hold a pedestrian Philly offense to similar numbers. The Heat have topped that mark just one time during this streak, and just five times since late January! The last six between these clubs played in Philly have failed to reach the total. I like the UNDER here.

The Knicks made a nice 12-6 run around the first of the year, but have slipped badly since. The Knicks, over their last 45 games, have been a woeful 13-32. They did manage a 5-3 ATS mark during their 12-6 run as a favorite, but otherwise are 5-10 ATS as chalk. The Wizards, since ending a six-game losing streak, have played much better having gone 4-3 over their last seven, including 3-1 vs. teams with a losing record. The Knicks play well against the good teams, but have stumbled vs. the weak ones as they are just 2-7 ATS at home in their last nine vs. a team with a losing record. I'll go with Washington in this one.

The Detroit Pistons have won just five of their last 24 games, so posted as a favorite here gets immediate attention on the other side. That gets some quick support when you look at them in the role of a favorite, where they aren't only 4-10 ATS they have lost 10 of their last 14 outright in the role of a favorite. The Raptors are currently 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games, but the Pistons simply haven't proved able to win many games. When posted as a favorite, they have been even worse! I'll grab Toronto on the moneyline here.

I'm not sure if anyone was asked which NBA team has allowed the fewest points per game, if the Charlotte Bobcats would come up often, but they in fact are the NBA’s best defensive team! They will be pitted against the NBA's worst offensive team in the New Jersey Nets. Charlotte has taken that defense on the road and made it work to the tune of an 18-7-1 UNDER mark in their last 26 vs. a team with a losing home record. The Nets have struggled offensively all year in particular against a sticky defense like the Bobcats, and I like the UNDER in this one.

The Milwaukee Bucks have gone 27-11 over their last 38 games, and this is a team that brings intensity to the defensive end of the court virtually every night.  They are subsequently 24-13-1 to the UNDER over their last 38 games. They have allowed just seven teams to reach the century mark over the 38 games without the benefit of overtime. The Hawks have scored much better this season, but on the road vs. a winning team over their last nine, they have averaged just 91 points per game. The Bucks are 35-16-1 to the UNDER in their last 52 vs. the East. I'll go with the UNDER in this one.

The Portland Trailblazers have faced a lot of injury obstacles, but it hasn't slowed them down. In fact, it has given them some good team depth to take into the playoffs. This is a team that is peaking at the right time having gone 17-5 over their last 22 games. They have been a force on the defensive end, which has been their calling card, as no team has gotten out of the 80s against them in each of their last four. The Thunder are vastly improved over a year ago, but have struggled with no rest, cashing just one of their last seven. The UNDER has prevailed in 10 of the last 11 between these clubs, and the Thunder has cashed just one of the last six. I'll go with Portland on the moneyline here, and the UNDER.

The Los Angeles Clippers have gone just 3-17 down the stretch, winding down yet another disappointing season. Their problem is generating offense as they have averaged 94.4 points per game over their last 19. I don't expect big minutes from the Dallas starters here, with the hopes of just shortening the game and getting a workout, then out of town injury free. The Mavs are playing UNDER in seven of their last eight after reaching the 100-point mark, and the Clippers at 42-18-2 to the UNDER at home vs. a team with a .600+ winning road mark. I'll go UNDER here.

Results: 2-6

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• View our NBA basketball power rankings here.
• Here we show our NBA sportsbook.
• Read our basketball Game-of-Day-Preview here.
• Read our basketball prior predictions here.
• Don't forget to read our 2009 season NBA handicapping preview here.
• View our NBA blog here.
• Take a look at our 2009 basketball picks here.
• View our updated basketball pick.
• Check out our updated NBA basketball lines and odds.
• Updated today: basketball against-the-spread standings.

Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-10-2010
The Golden State Warriors haven't done much winning on the road with just seven in the win column all season. They are playing much better now, winning three of their last four, and on the road, t...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-09-2010
Much to the chagrin of their fans, the Knicks have not put a competitive team on the floor for many years. That comes with a price to fans, but to their backers they remain a solid opportunity, and wi...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-07-2010
There is nothing about Washington that will inspire the Magic's "A" game in this one, especially with less than a week to go in the regular season. The Magic are pretty much locked into ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-06-2010
The Toronto Raptors played at a high level after the All-Star break, but have lost the consistency and edge, and have fallen fast. They are just 7-14 in their last 21 games, after going 20-7 in their ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-04-2010
This one appears to be all Cleveland. Cleveland has covered 14 of the last 18 vs. Boston, including seven of nine here in Boston. The Cavs have become only the ninth NBA franchise to post back-to-back...