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Free Nba Predictions - April 12, 2008

We swept to a 4-0 +10.8 night on the NBA hardwood last night. After we won our 5-unit NBA Game of the Year on April 5th, our 5-unit NBA plays are on a 7-1 run. Tonight we have our next 5-unit play as we look to push that record up to 8-1. Remember never to risk more than 5% of your bankroll on any play. Good luck!

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Minnesota at Memphis (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Memphis -3.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Grizzlies have had a long season and the win column has been difficult to find. They have, to their credit, not quit. Their best stretch of the season has been over their last 14 games where they have played to a 7-7 record. The one area they have shined all season is at home against teams that are not playoff-bound. Since the first of the year, Memphis has just 13 wins but nine of them have come at home vs teams not heading for the playoffs. They are 9-1 SU and 9-1 ATS against the weaker teams. That short list includes five double-digit wins, and a margin of victory of 10.5 ppg. Minnesota has just one win in their last seven games, and four of the losses have been complete blowouts. Minnesota is 28-37 ATS this season as an underdog and 11-23 ATS after covering the spread in their last game. Memphis gets this one, and we will back them at home.


Game: Denver at Utah (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Utah -5.5 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

The games are few and the margins are slim in the dramatic NBA West. Denver holds down the 8th and final spot by a single game over Golden State. Utah has proven to be a most difficult out at home, and each notch they can rise, the more opportunity they will have to play at home as the playoffs commence. The Jazz have delivered knockout blows to just about everyone at home. They are 35-4 here this season and 25-1 in their last 26. That includes a 16-2 ATS mark since the All Star break vs. winning teams! They are also 12-3 ATS vs team with a .600+ winning percentage. They have also won 11 of the 12 by 6 or more points. The Nuggets have really struggled on the road vs the NBA's elite teams. They are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine, and have been blown out by double-digits in seven of the eight losses. The Jazz can score, and they defend much better than the high scoring teams like Denver, Phoenix, and Golden State, and it is one reason why they are 8-1 against these teams overall. The Jazz have held their last five opponents to just 82.8 ppg. And that includes three games vs. teams that are better than Denver (San Antonio, New Orelans and Dallas)! They are 17-3 ATS in their last 20 vs. teams that make 6+ three-pointers per game and 14-5 ATS this season at home vs. poor defensive teams like Denver (those allowing 100+ ppg). Denver has proven they can't compete on the road vs the top teams and it doesn't get any stronger than Utah at home.


Results: 1-1

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-11-2008
The Grizzlies struggled all season on defense, but tonight they get the Heat who are averaging 91.5 ppg on the season and 85.4 over their last five. The Heat are 23-16 UNDER on the road this season an...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-10-2008
It doesn't get any more meaningful or tight than this as two teams locked in a tie for the last playoffs spot meet. If the Nuggets win, they will claim the straight-up tiebreaker given that they h...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-09-2008
The Bucks have quit playing defense over the last 25 games. They have allowed 108 points per game and in their last 29 games, 21 have played over the total and nine of their last 10 when the posted to...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-08-2008
Charlotte was eliminated from the playoff picks last game, losing by 23 to the Celtics. In that game they scored just 78 points. They have put up under 100 in nine of their last fifteen games. Minneso...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-06-2008
After the Warriors 117-86 win over Memphis, they are now tied with Denver for the last playoff spot in the West. Their offense got back on track after two mediocre games. But, those two sub-par perfor...

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