Nba Sports Picks - April 10, 2009

Our NBA plays have been hot over the last week to the tune of 11-6 (65%) for +15.8 units. Since mid-November our NBA picks are 233-186, 56% for +84.8 units. Today, we look to keep our hot streak rolling as we feature seven NBA premium picks, including a 5-unit play.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
MLB	9-3 Season-to-Date	75%	+$2210
NBA	233-186 last 419 picks	56%	+$8480
NFL	72-44 last 116 picks	62%	+$7320
NHL	12-3 last 15 picks	80%	+$3770
TOTAL			+$21780

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Indiana at Atlanta (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Indiana +5.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The playoffs have started for the Indiana Pacers - even though they might not be in them. They sit one game behind Charlotte for the eighth and final spot in the NBA East, so expect a playoff-like effort in this one. The Pacers have risen against the better teams in the NBA all season long, and they need to step up again here. The Pacers have roared as a road dog, as they are 7-2 ATS over their last nine played in that role. The old gambling adage, "the team in need, is the team indeed." applies to this one. I will back the Pacers to make a huge effort, and at least stay close here.

The Memphis Grizzlies are a horrible team that made a little run, as almost any team does, and it is reflected in the line posted here, but not justified by what the team is. Memphis made a nice run winning five out of six but are back to their losing ways dropping their last two. The Grizzlies are 1-16 straight up against the last 17 teams they have played with a winning record, so to see a team positioned as almost a pick-em game is ridiculous. The total here reflects just one side, and that is that Phoenix is a scoring machine, but that hasn't been close to the case for Memphis when playing at home. They have only reached this total twice all season long at home, and when a team with a winning record has come to Memphis, none have played a game that would top this total! The Grizzlies have hosted 13 games vs. the NBA's top 10 scoring teams, and just one has topped this total, while the average of the 13 games is not even 200 - it is 197.2 points per game! The 13 games have seen the total fall short of 200 in eight of the games or 61.5% of the time! Phoenix is among those teams, as they played a game that featured just 190 points earlier in Memphis. This one is way too high, so I am backing Phoenix and the UNDER.

The Pistons are just simply a team based on reputation of past years and not this year's results. They have needed to win down the stretch, but have managed to go just 5-9 over their last 14 games, which shows they just aren't the same team their past reputation credits them. Put them in a role of a favorite of -6 or more, and they are just 6-14 ATS on the season, showing they have been completely over-valued. The Nets have played to an 11-3-1 ATS record against the East in their last 15, while the Pistons just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 as a home favorite. The Nets get the call here.

The Charlotte Bobcats are holding onto the final playoff spot in the East by just a single game. This is not a place to stumble, if they hope to garner their first-ever playoff berth in Charlotte. Oklahoma City is another bad team that made a good run, but has returned to their sloppy form which has now seen them drop seven of their last eight games. A team that was hot ATS is now also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11, as they are no longer under the radar, and at the same time playing poorly again. Charlotte needs a win and always brings tough defense. This one should not be an obstacle, so I will back them here.

While Utah has not fared well on the road against winning teams, they will face one here in San Antonio that has been riddled with injuries. They have lost Ginobli for the season with an ankle injury, Parker had cramping in both calves in the last game and Duncan is questionable with ailing knees. San Antonio is a good team, but not the one they once were, and in their last six at home vs. teams with a winning record, they have managed to win just one of them. They now have a hungry Utah team coming in, and the Spurs are playing very short of a full compliment of star players. This is a good spot for Utah as a live dog, and I'll back them in this one.

The Los Angeles Clippers were competitive at times with Zach Randolph. Unfortunately, after a suspension for a DUI, he won't be playing in this one. The Clippers are a bad team without their best player. Beyond that they have at least five more injured players, so this team is down to "Miami Heat" status of last year, and we all know how that worked out. The Clippers have an overtime win to show for their last 10 games, and I certainly don't expect much from them here - even against the Kings. The Kings have more than held their own against the bottom feeders of the NBA, losing by two in Washington, and two at Golden State in OT, as well as beating these Clippers by 12 in their last matchup. I'll go with the Kings in this one.

Results: 3-4

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• View our updated NBA previous picks.
• Hop over to our 2008 season basketball handicapping preview here.
• Don't forget to read our sportsbook reviews NBA here.
• Hop over to our NBA Game Preview here.
• View 2008 NBA picks season results here.
• Here we show our NBA basketball ratings.
• Check out NBA handicapping here.
• View our updated basketball lines.
• Don't forget to visit our NBA against-the-spread records.
• Don't forget to read our blog basketball picks here.

Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-08-2009
Orlando's coming off an embarrassing loss to Houston. In that game they were held to just 83 points. They've shot 38% from the field in back-to-back games. I expect them to take out their frus...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-07-2009
There is no doubt that the Charlotte Bobcats are an improved team, but the oddsmakers are beginning to over compensate, pushing the value to the other side. While they have played better, they are jus...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-05-2009
Neither of these two teams is playing well as the season winds down. Cleveland faces the possibility of a third-straight loss for the first time this season. They have a 3.5 game lead over Boston in t...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-04-2009
The New York Knicks were on an offensive roll that saw them surpass the 100-point mark in 26 straight games. That offense has left the building, but the totals issued in their games aren't reflect...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-03-2009
The Indiana Pacers have been a tough team at home against the top teams. They have already beaten nine teams with winning records at home, and lost to four others by just two points and another in ove...