Free Nba Pick - April 10, 2008
We pushed one and lost the rest last night as we are off right now. Tonight we'll go light on two plays...
Today's NBA Basketball Picks:
Game: Denver at Golden State (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Golden State -4.5 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)
It doesn't get any more meaningful or tight than this as two teams locked in a tie for the last playoffs spot meet. If the Nuggets win, they will claim the straight-up tiebreaker given that they have already beaten the Warriors two out of three this season. A Warriors win evens the season series as well as the next tiebreaker (record vs. conference opponents). This game is more important to Golden State and they luckily get the Nuggets at home. Denver is mean at home but just 16-23 on the road. Golden State is very similar, posting a mediocre road mark but going 26-12 thus far at home. Denver especially struggles vs. high-scoring foes who can keep up with them. They are just 6-21 ATS in their lats 27 vs. teams that average 103+ ppg. Golden State has gone 20-8 ATS at home vs. teams winning teams at home the past three seasons after the All Star break. We are going to fade the Nuggets in this barn-burner.
Game: Utah at Dallas (8:30 PM Eastern)Pick: 2 units on Dallas -4.5 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)
Dallas is all-of-a-sudden playing like a team that needs to be taken seriously in the playoffs. They have won four out of their last five to secure a safe #7 position ahead of the Nuggets and Warriors. Utah's road woes are well known (17-22 SU and 16-23 ATS) and Dallas is a very strong team at home when not laying huge lines. They are 32-7 SU, putting them close behind the Jazz for home-court dominance. Utah's big problem on the road is defense where they allow 104.1 ppg! This is somewhat of a statement game for the Mavs. They have lost two straight vs. Utah. Those were on the road and if they lose a third straight, at home, it doesn't bode well for their confidence going into the playoffs. Games involving two very good teams favor the favored teams. The favorites in such games have hit at a 73% ATS clip the past five seasons including 8-2 this year! We'll take Dallas here.
NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-09-2008
The Bucks have quit playing defense over the last 25 games. They have allowed 108 points per game and in their last 29 games, 21 have played over the total and nine of their last 10 when the posted to...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-08-2008
Charlotte was eliminated from the playoff picks last game, losing by 23 to the Celtics. In that game they scored just 78 points. They have put up under 100 in nine of their last fifteen games. Minneso...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-06-2008
After the Warriors 117-86 win over Memphis, they are now tied with Denver for the last playoff spot in the West. Their offense got back on track after two mediocre games. But, those two sub-par perfor...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-05-2008
Two playoff teams collide in Cleveland this afternoon with seeding implications and we expect an intense, defense-laden game. Orlando has gone UNDER in seven of their last eight games. Cleveland has g...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-04-2008
The Hawks have won five straight, averaging 116 ppg in those wins, and are beating some !GOOD1! teams. The Sixers are 28-44 ATS under Mo Cheeks in games with a total set at 200 or more. That...
