Free Basketball Pick - April 08, 2009

We went 4-1 yesterday pushing our pro hoops record over the past week to 13-7 (65%). Over the past five months we are +84.4 units. Today we have three picks, including one 5 unit selection.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
MLB	4-0 Season-to-Date	100%	+$1320
NBA	231-185 last 416 picks	56%	+$8440
NFL	72-44 last 116 picks	62%	+$7320
NHL	10-2 last 12 picks	83%	+$3480
TOTAL			+$20560

 

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Memphis at Orlando (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Orlando -14.5 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

Orlando's coming off an embarrassing loss to Houston. In that game they were held to just 83 points. They've shot 38% from the field in back-to-back games. I expect them to take out their frustrations and return to form vs. Memphis here. They are still fighting for the second seed in the East so expect no letdown here. Memphis is just 8-30 on the road, scoring 93 and allowing over 100 ppg. Orlando is 30-8 at home (22-16 ATS) scoring 102 and allowing just 91.8. Over the past two seasons, the Grizz are just 31-47 ATS vs. winning teams. Orlando is 24-14 ATS vs. losing teams this season and 25-12 ATS vs. teams that allow 100+ ppg. Orlando is also 10-1 ATS this season coming off a road loss. I like the Magic, a team that tops my power rankings, to roll here.

Atlanta needs to keep winning to keep hopes alive for home-court advantage in the playoffs. Given their 7-game thriller vs. Boston last year, in which they couldn't lose at home, and their huge discrepancy in record home and away this year, think they are going to scratch and claw to get homecourt this year. Milwaukee plays horribly on the road and decent at home. But, the Hawks are the better team here. Atlanta is now 12-4 ATS vs. Central division foes this season and 28-14 ATS following a win. Milwaukee has given up as they are now 3-13 SU and ATS in their last sixteen games. I'll take Atlanta here.

We were on the Spurs last night and got the win, despite the absence of Ginobli. Tonight they will also likely be without Duncan who is slated for rest. San Antonio will revert to great defense to try to win this game. They average just 92.6 ppg allowed at home on the year. Portland can also bring it defensively. They have held their last five opponents to just 87.4 ppg. Without Duncan or Ginobili on offense, I expect this one to be a very tough-fought extremely low-scoring game.

Results: 2-1

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Don't forget to read our NBA prior predictions here.
• Check out our updated 2008 basketball preivew.
• View our updated NBA sportsbook.
• View our updated NBA Game-of-Day-Preview.
• Updated today: 2008 basketball prior pick season results.
• View NBA basketball ratings here.
• Updated today: free basketball predictions.
• View NBA odds and lines here.
• Updated today: basketball ATS standings.
• View our blog NBA picks here.

Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-07-2009
There is no doubt that the Charlotte Bobcats are an improved team, but the oddsmakers are beginning to over compensate, pushing the value to the other side. While they have played better, they are jus...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-05-2009
Neither of these two teams is playing well as the season winds down. Cleveland faces the possibility of a third-straight loss for the first time this season. They have a 3.5 game lead over Boston in t...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-04-2009
The New York Knicks were on an offensive roll that saw them surpass the 100-point mark in 26 straight games. That offense has left the building, but the totals issued in their games aren't reflect...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-03-2009
The Indiana Pacers have been a tough team at home against the top teams. They have already beaten nine teams with winning records at home, and lost to four others by just two points and another in ove...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-02-2009
The Utah Jazz has played 15 games on the road this season vs. teams with a winning record on the season. They have allowed every one of the 15 teams to score 100 or more, and have allowed an average o...