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Game: Memphis at Orlando (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Memphis +12

Phoenix three times, Utah, San Antonio and Dallas twice, Houston and Cleveland. You are probably wondering what all that means. Memphis has been a double-digit underdog to all of those teams. Add in both Golden State and the Lakers and that is all of them. So how does Orlando look among those games that include nine games against division leaders, and 13 of 14 with winning records? It just doesn't fit. Yes, Memphis is at the bottom of the league but if the season started with the last 39 games, guess what? Orlando is 12-27 and Memphis is 10-29 – just two games behind. When is that worth 12 points in a game? Memphis has lost a lot of games for sure, but they have been very competitive in this situation against far greater competition. They stand at 10-4 as a double-digit dog. Orlando isn't exactly playing at a high level as they have dropped 3 of 4 games and two of those losses have been to teams with losing records. The last three times Orlando played in a game with a double-digit point-spread they were getting the points as a team that has been 12-27 should! Orlando has not responded well after a close loss at home. They have been 3-23 ATS after a home loss by three points or less, and 1-5 this year. They are also only 10-22 as a favorite. Memphis stays close in this one.

This is a great spot for Golden State. There is nothing worse for an athlete than to get blown out by an opponent and then repeat the performance. San Antonio beat Golden St by 40 points then followed that up by beating them by 37. One thing is for sure - Golden St. will play tonight and San Antonio will be complacent. They are coming off of a huge emotional win over Phoenix, and are playing a team they beat by 87 points in two games, they will not be hungry here, but Golden St. will. San Antonio has four teams on its schedule that matter the most. Those are Utah, Dallas, Phoenix and the Lakers. They have been an unproductive 3-7-1 ATS after playing these teams. Look for Golden St. to make a game out of this.

Utah has had an up-and-down season, but the good runs have been much longer the lulls. They started 17-5, only to hit the wall and proceed to go 7-9. Then they went on a 19-5 run, and now have lapsed again going 7-9. These are signs of inexperience and fragility within a team. When they are good, they are almost unbeatable, when they are not, they are very beatable and they are not good right now. There are four losses to teams with losing records during this stretch, which almost equals the total losses in the 22, and 24 game good stretches. Seattle hasn't been a model of consistency themselves, but has averaged 104-points per game (PPG) in their last seven, and should be able to score enough to keep this game close. The Jazz have covered just 1 of their last 12 games, so we have to ride the Sonics here.