Mlb Pick - September 30, 2009

We took hit on the bases yesterday going 2-3.  Even with the hit, our picks are still going strong over the past three and a half months at 244-192 for +100.7 units.  Tonight we have five MLB picks including a 5 unit selection.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	29-26 last 55 picks	53%	+$200
CFB	10-6 last 16 picks	63%	+$920
MLB	244-192 last 436 picks	56%	+$10070
NBA	299-237 last 536 picks	56%	+$12460
WNBA	120-89 last 209 picks	57%	+$5760
TOTAL			+$29410

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: New York Mets at Washington (4:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington -130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.3)

This Met team is really in a funk. They had high expectations, but injuries, attitude, and lack of team chemistry has done them in. They have been no-shows on the road, and last night blew a 3-0 lead. They not only blew the lead, they had the bases loaded in the last two innings with zero outs and could not score. They also allowed the winning run to score with a couple of errors and no National hits. They have literally quit and now take on Washington with John Lannon on the mound, their best pitcher, who has been even better of late, pitching to a 1.89 ERA over his last three starts. The Mets have now dropped four straight to the Nationals and are now 8-20 on the road in their last 28. The offense has scored three runs or less in 29 of their last 54 games. Hard to win if you don't score. I'm going with the Nats here.

The Mets have had such a disappointing season, I'm sure they can't wait for it to end. All the injuries, the attitudes and lack of chemistry turned hopes of an NL pennant into a 90+ loss season. The Nats actually have a better record at home than the Mets on the road. John Lannon has pitched great and has a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts. As bad as the Mets have been on the road at 8-20 in their last 28, they have been a disgrace vs lefthand pitching on the road where they are just 1-11 in their last 12. I will also go with the Nats on the runline here.

The Toronto Blue Jays have their ace on the mound in Roy Halladay as they face the Red Sox in Boston. Halladay is on his way to the Hall of Fame five years after he retires, but it won't be because of what he has done vs the Red Sox. The Red Sox have solved his serves, have a winning record against him lifetime, and his ERA is a full run higher than his career average vs the Sox. The numbers are even worse at Fenway where the Jays are just 3-6 in his last nine starts here. That leaves a very favorable position on Boston as a solid live dog here. Tim Wakefield has had success against the Jays to the tune of a 17-12 lifetime mark and he has matched up with Roy Halladay five times where the Red Sox have won four of the five games. Halladay creates a lot of respect from the oddsmakers, but he is in the wrong spot here. I'm going with Boston in this one.

The Giants have won 50 home games on the season, the most of any National League team. The Diamondbacks have now gone 6-18 on the road in their last 24 vs a team with a winning record. It will be hard for the D-Backs to change those losing ways with Kevin Mulvey on the mound. Mulvey has an 8.84 ERA and his three starts on the season about the same. The Giants starter, Brad Penny has some huge numbers vs the D-Backs as he is 8-3 for his career with a 2.13 ERA against them. The current D-Back roster has a combined .227 average against Penny with just one home run. Arizona also sports a 20-50 mark in their last 70 vs a team with a winning record on the season and have never gotten it done in San Francisco, where they are 21-44 in their last 65 played here. I'm going with the Giants in this one.

There are a lot of bad numbers for the Diamondbacks in this one and starting a pitcher with an ERA of close to nine is just one of them. Their history here is horrible, with just 21 wins in their last 65 played here and they are also just 20-50 in their last 70 vs a winning team. Penny has had the magic vs the D-Backs with a career 2.13 ERA and his overall numbers vs the current Arizona roster suggests he is ready for success here as they hit a combined .227 off of him with just one HR. Bad spot for the D-Backs lineup and SF has been a house of horrors for this team over the years.  I will back the Giants on the runline.

Results: 4-1

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• View our 2009 MLB baseball season prior picks here.
• Take a look at our baseball picks blog here.
• Take a look at our MLB baseball sports handicapping philosophy here.
• Check out baseball prior picks here.
• Check out MLB Baseball Game-of-Day Analysis here.
• Don't forget to read our sportsbook reviews mlb here.
• Read our MLB Baseball odds and lines here.
• Updated today: free mlb predictions.
• Don't forget to visit our mlb baseball ATS records.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-29-2009
The Tigers sure have been feeling the heat from the Twins’ 11-2 run that has closed the gap in the AL Central to just two games. The Tigers aren't doing themselves any favors at just 8-11 ov...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-28-2009
The Detroit Tigers have done everything they can to make a race out of the AL Central. They had virtually put away a few weeks ago, but going 8-11 down the stretch has left the door open for a suddenl...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-27-2009
Some may worry about  LA's motivation here. The Dodgers have secured a playoff spot but they aren't done yet as they seek to clinch the West. This team is still about business as demonstr...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-26-2009
The Red Sox have to be encouraged by what they got from Dice-K Matsuzaka coming back from injury. He has worked 11.1 innings and allowed just three runs for a 2.38 ERA. His velocity is back and he cer...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-25-2009
The Pittsburgh Pirates are a complete joke, and they have just one player on their entire roster with even as many as 50 RBI. They also have just one player with as many as 20 HRs, so you would think ...