Sports Pick Mlb - September 19, 2007
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Today's MLB Baseball Picks:
Game: New York Mets at Washington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Washington +141 (risk 4 to win 5.6)
The Mets have totally collapsed. They had a 7.5 game lead on September 10, and have watched it disappear and are now clinging to a 1.5 game lead with the Phillies winning six straight. The Mets have given up 31 runs, have made countless errors and the bullpen is in shambles and over-worked. The last seven games have featured the Mets’ pen yielding 25 runs in 25 innings. The starters aren't getting it done, and the pen is coughing it up as well. They now call on rookie Mike Pelfrey to stop the bleeding. The Mets are just 3-9 in his starts on the season - not the type of pitcher you want to throw into what has become a pennant race. Pelfrey has given up 13 hits, 4 BBs, and a hit batter in his last 7.1 innings, or 2.5 base runners per inning. The Nationals have pounded the Mets’ staff for 21 runs in the first two games and send Matt Chico to the hill tonight. The Nats are 11-5 when he starts at home, and Chico has pitched well of late, not yielding more than four earned runs in any of his last nine starts, and just once in his last 15 home starts. The Nats bring out the brooms and sweep the series.
Game: Philadelphia at St. Louis (8:10 PM Eastern)Pick: 4 units on Philadelphia +102 (risk 4 to win 4.1)
The Phillies are red hot winning six straight, and stand 16-7 in their last 23, averaging over six runs a game in the process, and are simply out-hitting their suspect pitching. They have pounded the Cardinals’ staff to the tune of 45 runs in the five meetings this season, or nine a game. Jamie Moyer pitches just well enough to have led the Phillies to an 18-12 record in his 30 starts. The Phillies are 12-2 in his starts when they score six runs or more, and they certainly have been doing a lot of hitting lately. The Cards have packed it in. They have been the worst team in baseball down the stretch as their 1-12 mark would indicate. The Cards have scored three runs or less an amazing 73 times this season! The offense is just not there. Adam Wainwright has pitched ok, but the Cards have lost his last two starts as well, and this team has folded down the stretch. The Phillies smell blood, are feeling good and will complete the sweep tonight.
MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-18-2007
The Dodgers have quietly gone 17-9 in their last 26 games, and it is because of their pitching, as they have held opponents to four runs or less in 20 of those 26 games. One of the reasons has been th...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-17-2007
The Tigers put themselves in a bad position by struggling in the second half, but they are putting pressure on the Indians and Yankees now. They have won five straight and are now 10-2 over their...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-16-2007
The Pirates let a 5-0 lead slip away last night, but still remain the better team here with a pitching advantage as well. Paul Maholm has simply been a different pitcher since he carried a 5.82 ERA th...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-15-2007
The odds makers continue to under value the D-Backs. They lead all of baseball at +19.44 units against the moneyline, yet they continue to get the short side of the odds, even as they have won seven o...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-14-2007
The Nationals have certainly held their own this season, and they will have a lot working for them as they open a series against the Braves. The Nationals have played well at home having won five stra...
