Mlb Free Tips - September 18, 2008
We nailed our 4-unit play last night, but missed on the other to post a slight loss. Today we come back to the MLB diamond with three more picks including another 4-unit play.
Today's MLB Baseball Picks:
Game: Seattle at Kansas City (2:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Kansas City -201 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 2)
The Royals are currently playing well, and have the good feeling of a team out of any playoff contention as they have won six straight, which makes it fun to go to the ballpark. The same can't be said for Seattle which has now lost seven straight in a row and nine straight on the road. Zack Grienke has pitched to a 2.21 ERA over his last six starts, and has not allowed more than three runs in any of those six outings. Ryan Feieraband has not pitched well at all, as he brings a 5.79 ERA into this one with an even-worse 9.88 road ERA. The Royals may be in last place in the AL Central, but they have more wins against left-handed pitching than any other team at 32-22. I like Royals for the sweep.
Game: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:10 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on Atlanta +185 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 5.6)
Atlanta has been completely lost on the road, but they enter this one with the same home record (41-36) as the Phillies’ road mark. Cole Hammels has pitched well this season, but in his last six road starts the Phillies have managed just two wins. Consider those two wins were over the worst two teams in the NL in Washington and San Diego - he hasn't beaten a decent team on the road since before the All-Star break. Jo Jo Reyes has not pitched well this season, but his last home start he allowed just one run and four hits in six innings, and may have found something to build on. The oddsmakers like to pile on the chalk with teams in a pennant race, turning the value the other way, so I'll back the Braves here.
Game: New York Mets at Washington (7:10 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on Washington +183 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 5.5)
The Mets’ bullpen is in shambles. They have already blown 27 saves on the season and leading 8-2 last night, they needed eight relievers to hold off the Nats, winning 9-7. Johan Santana has been robbed of six wins this season, because the bullpen could not close the game. It has lead to him throwing more pitches (112.5 avg in his last six), than Mets’ ownership would like to see, and may start costing him down the stretch. The high pitch count still hasn't gotten him past the seventh inning in any of the games and he has left to a no decision in three of them. Tim Redding has started 19 games in which he allowed three or less runs, and the Nats have won four of his last five starts. The Mets fell apart last year and show signs of doing so again - blowing a four-game lead in just a week, and their pen can't be trusted. The value is on the Nats here.
Results: 1-2
MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-17-2008
The Mariners have cashed in their chips for the season. When Seattle does go on the road their motivation is to get the game over with and get closer to closing the curtain on a dreadful 2008 season. ...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-16-2008
The Reds have played well down the stretch as they have been 10-5 over their last 15 games. Bronson Arroyo has also been pitching at the top of his game, as the Reds are now 10-4 in his last 14 starts...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-15-2008
Not only is Seattle a bad team but right now they are a cold bad team, losing four straight. Add a dreadful Carlos Silva to that mix, and the Mariners are not in a winning situation. Silva won three o...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-14-2008
Can you imagine the last place Pirates sweeping the Cards? Me Neither. Brad Thompson will look to ste things right today. He's 5-2 overall and 2-1 in starts with a 3.05 ERA. St. Louis is 41-28 vs....
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-12-2008
Cliff Lee looks to be the AL Cy Young winner hands down. He has had a magnificent season. The Indians however have not, and with Lee achieving the 20 win plateau and the Indians long out of it, this c...
