Sports Handicapping Free Mlb Picks - September 15, 2009

We hooked-up with just one of our MLB picks last night. Three more premium MLB plays are on today's menu...

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	23-15 last 38 picks	61%	+$1900
MLB	213-162 last 375 picks	57%	+$10820
NBA	299-237 last 536 picks	56%	+$12460
WNBA	112-83 last 195 picks	57%	+$5510
TOTAL			+$30690

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Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington +1.5 runs +110 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.3)

Cliff Lee has developed a reputation that puts the oddsmakers in a bad place. He has pitched very well for the past two years, but  like any other pitcher, he hits the wall and loses his way. Right now that is where Cliff Lee is. Since his second start of the season, Lee has had only allowed more than four runs just once. Suddenly he has now allowed 5+ in each of his last three starts. His ERA is 9.60 in those starts and he has allowed 29 hits in 14 innings - obviously struggling right now, so the line offered here gets juiced while Lee struggles. One of those last three games was against this same Washington team that pounded him for five runs in seven innings and 10 hits. Lee still has good numbers for the season, but he has allowed more hits than innings pitched. The Nats are the play here on the runline.

Tampa Bay finally won a game last night, but this team has lost its swagger. Last year, everything went perfectly and it took them right to the World Series. Now they amazingly trail the Yankees by nearly 20 games. Even with everything going right a year ago, the road was paved with landmines as they finished south of .500, and this year a very poor 30-45. They are currently in a 6-16 road rut, and this team literally has no fight left in it. Niemann hasn't been able to stop the road bleeding either as the Rays are just 1-5 in his last six road starts. Last year the Rays were scooping up wins everywhere, this year they are bazing a trail of losses especially on the road. I'll go with Baltimore in this one.

Sometimes looking at the opposing pitcher, in this case Dan Haren for the D-Backs, can make you a bit uncomfortable offering against him. Not the case here at all as the D-Backs are pathetic against left-hand pitching. Arizona is a weak offensive team to begin with at 4.4 runs a game, but put them against a lefthander and that drops significantly to 3.8 runs a game. The result has been very noticeable on the road as Arizona has put together a very poor 4-13 mark on the road against lefthanders. It has not helped them having Dan Haren on the mound as he has made three road starts facing a lefthander, and the Diamondbacks have dropped all three of them. Wade LeBlanc is gaining confidence and is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his last three starts. I'll take the live dog here and go with San Diego.

Results: 1-2

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Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-14-2009
It is down to playing out the string for these two teams. The Padres were not expected to do well in the NL West, but have done a great job all season at home where they stand a more-than-competitive ...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-13-2009
The Dodgers own a 41-29 road record, scoring 5.2 runs per game (way more than they average at home). The Giants are good at home, but their offense is weak. Chad Billingsley has been better than Brad ...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-12-2009
The Angels have been a lethal team against left-hand pitching. They have collected the win in 38 of their last 56 played against them and are on a nice 9-2 run against southpaws in their last 11 at ho...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-11-2009
The Tigers are doing all they can to make a race out of the AL Central. They just went to Kansas City to face the lowly Royals, and came out of the three-game series winless. They now come home with N...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-10-2009
Anytime you get a team with a poor road pedigree and playing against a team that has been seven games over .500 at home, and they are favored, you have to look for reasons to play against them. There ...