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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
MLB Baseball Premium Edition
September 15, 2006

darrell,

A five star play for you tonight...

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The Wunderdog


Premium Picks

Game: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 stars on Toronto -283 (risk 500 to win 177)

This just isn't fair. Tampa Bay has won 2 out of 27 road games since the mid-way point in the season. They come off a beating at the hands of the hot Yankees. Now, they go in to face Roy Halladay. Ouch. Halladay is 16-5 on the season with 3.21 ERA. In his last four starts against the Devil Rays, he's got a 1.65 ERA. He goes 6.9 innings per start (7.4 at home) and Tampa Bay is 5-4 this season vs. starters that go 6.5+ innings per start. Tampa Bay scores 4.0 per game on the road while Toronto knocks in 5.6 per game at home. The D-Rays have little to no chance here and we'll back Toronto.


Game: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1 star on Arizona -172 (risk 100 to win 58)

Byung-Hyun Kim has been horrible on the road this season (7.11 ERA and 3-6 record). Brandon Webb has been nearly unbeatable at home (9-1 record with 2.60 ERA). He's off a tremendous performance against St. Louis (one hit shutout). Kim is 0-2 vs. the D-Backs while Webb is 6-4 vs. the Rockies. Huge starting pitching advantage. Colorado bats dry up on the road (4.3 per game vs. over 5 at home). The Rockies are just 29-46 away from Coors Field. Colorado is 1-18 on the road vs. pitchers with an ERA under 3.00 the past two seasons. Arizona here.


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How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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