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Mlb Free Picks - September 13, 2007

Just one pick today from a short card.

 

Despite going 3-6 over the last couple of days, we have only lost the equivalent of only 1.5 bets (at four units per bet). This reinforces the value of underdog betting.

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Texas at Oakland (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Texas +105 (risk 4 to win 4.2)

The Oakland A's completed the first half of the season with a 42-39 record. They have since gone 29-37, and just 6-12 over their last 18. The surprise has been the total collapse of the pitching staff. The A's have allowed 117 runs over their last 18 games or 6.5 runs a game. Chad Gaudin is a big part of that collapse. The A's were 11-3 in his first 14 starts, and Gaudin was pitching to a stellar 2.85 ERA. They have now gone 5-11 in his last 16 starts, and Gaudin has pitched to a 5.94 ERA. The Rangers have been on a different path. They finished the first half of the season just 34-47, but have been 35-29 since and most recently 13-4. The Rangers are motivated to get out of the basement in the AL West and leave Oakland sitting at the bottom. Kevin Millwood has taken the opposite path of Gaudin. Millwood had a 7.62 ERA in mid-June. Millwood has pitched to a 3.97 ERA over his last 16 starts. That includes 12 of 16 games with three runs or less, seven of his last 13 with one run or less, and the Rangers have won his last three starts. We like the Rangers to take game 1.


MLB Baseball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-12-2007
Tom Gorzelanny has had a good year for a bad team. It has translated into a 14-7 record. The bad news is when he is left out of the decision the Pirates are 0-7! So overall the Pirates are just 14-14 ...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-11-2007
The Tigers are in a battle for their post-season lives, as they have faded over the last half of the season. They stood at 58-37, and appeared poised to defend their AL title, but have been just 30-39...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-10-2007
Youkilis 5-23 (.217), Varitek 4-18 (.222), Ramirez 6-39 (.154), Ortiz 5-34 (.147), Lugo 2-11 (.182), Drew 0-3 (.000), Crisp 2-10 (.200) - total 22-138 (.159). That is the bulk of the Red Sox lineup, a...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-09-2007
Zack Greinke gets the pleasure of trying to slow down A-Rod and the Yankees. He just may be able to do it. He has a 3.87 ERA on the year and has gone 19 straight innings without allowing a run. C...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-08-2007
LA lost yesterday in the bottom of the ninth, but it was only their first loss to the Giants in San Francisco this season (they are 6-1). We like Los Angeles to bounce back with a win this afternoon. ...

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