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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
MLB Baseball Premium Edition
September 13, 2006

darrell,

We hit the four-star, one game got rained out and the other went from a nice 4-0 lead to a 6-4 loss in the late innings... Two picks today.

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Good luck today...

The Wunderdog


Premium Picks

Game: Oakland at Minnesota (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Minnesota -154 (risk 200 to win 130)

The Twins have reeled off five straight wins and now go for the sweep of Oakland. They are 50-23 at home this season and the hottest team in baseball since June. Franisco Liriano has been nearly unstoppable this year posting a 12-3 record and 12-3 record. At home he's 5-1 with a 1.48 ERA. Ridiculous. Dan Haren has been average (4.77 road ERA). The Twins are 19-7 vs. the league's elite (54%+ record). Twins at home with Liriano? I'll take it.


Game: Tampa Bay at New York Yankees (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 stars on New York Yankees -242 (risk 400 to win 165)

We'll get back on this one as many of the same reasons to back the Yankees exist again tonight. They are hot with lots of offense. They are playing the worst road team in the league - a team that has won 2 games on the road since the mid-way point. Sure, Hammel has pitched better than Lidle this season. But, we still get a very potent Yankees offense at home in this one in a similar situation as last night: off a high scoring game. New York is now 23-5 this season after a game in which 15+ runs were scored. Home teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game, after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 35-8 (81%) over the last 5 seasons. Yankees again.


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How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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