Baseball Pick - September 12, 2008

We missed on our MLB picks yesterday. We are 5-4 with our big dogs this month (180+) and we will be rolling with two more today.

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Kansas City +186 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 5.6)

Cliff Lee looks to be the AL Cy Young winner hands down. He has had a magnificent season. The Indians however have not, and with Lee achieving the 20 win plateau and the Indians long out of it, this could be a good spot with Gil Meche on the mound for the Royals to steal one. Meche has pitched great, and the Royals are 12-4 in his last 16 starts. At the same time, the Royals are 30-21 against left-handed pitching while failing miserably against right handers at 32-62. We have a hot pitcher in Meche, who can stay with Lee for seven innings then the edge turns to KC as Cleveland owns the worst pen in baseball. I'll ride with the big dog in this one.

When the Dodgers lost eight straight, it looked like the D-Backs were gonna waltz to the NL West title. The problem was that Arizona has really gone cold. They have now lost six straight, and have managed to find the win column in just three of their last 16. The offense has managed just three runs a game in their last 16, and wins are hard to come by when your team isn't scoring, especially when your pitching staff is allowing six runs a game on the other side. Then there's Brandon Webb pitching to a 12+ ERA over his last three starts and the big dog suddenly takes on value, so I'll ride with the Reds here.

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• Don't forget to visit our baseball picks blog.
• Here we show our Baseball odds and lines.
• Updated today: MLB ATS records.
• Don't forget to visit our 2008 MLB prior pick results.
• View 2008 MLB season preview here.
• Here we show our MLB betting approach.
• View our mlb baseball predictions here.
• Check out mlb betting here.
• Here we show our MLB Baseball Game Analysis.
• Here we show our MLB record.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-11-2008
This one may appear a bit "chalky" laying some heavy wood, but not chalky enough for the overall expectation. Francisco Liriano was by far the best pitcher in baseball with a 1.93 ERA before...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-10-2008
The Oakland offense averaged 2.5 runs a game for nearly a month and a half, has shown some life lately as they have an average of over six runs a game in their last six, and they have now won three ou...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-09-2008
John Lannan has pitched admirably for a poor team all year, posting an ERA in the 3's on the season. He has allowed three runs or less in 20 of 27 starts, and should be able to keep the Nats in th...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-08-2008
The AL East race gets the top two teams squaring off at Fenway tonight when the Tampa Bay Rays invade Boston. The Sox have cut the Rays margin to 1.5 games, and tonight becomes a pivotal game. Jon Les...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-07-2008
Chris Young, a losing pitcher with an ERA pushing 5.00 goes today for the Padres. Young hasn't won since May 16 and has lasted more than six innings just twice in his last 14 starts. The Pads have...