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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
MLB Baseball Premium Edition
September 09, 2006

darrell,

Three picks tonight...

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Good luck today...

The Wunderdog


Premium Picks

Game: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Chicago White Sox -201 (risk 200 to win 100)

Cleveland has trouble winning on the road. They reall have trouble with Fausto Carmona on the mound. He's 1-8 on the season. Countering for Chicago is Jon Garland with his 3.84 ERA at home and 1.96 ERA over his last three starts. Cleveland is 20-40 vs. good teams (54%+) during second-half play over the past three years. They are also 13-23 this year on the road vs. division opponents. Take Garland and the White Sox at home.


Game: Texas at Seattle (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Seattle -124 (risk 200 to win 161)

Pretty even pitching matchup between Tejada and Washburn but I give the slight edge to Washburn, especially at home. Seattle has won 11 of 16 games behind great defense and pitching. They hit better against righties like Tejada. Take Washburn and the Mariners who are finding all sorts of ways to win right now.


Game: St. Louis at Arizona (9:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Arizona -132 (risk 200 to win 152)

Jason Marquis is just 14-13 on the season. On the road he's 6-7 with a 5.23 ERA. That just isn't going to cut it. Brandon Webb on the other hand is 14-6 with a 3.14 ERA. At home he's ridiculous with an 8-1 record and 2.86 ERA. The Cards are a shell of their 2005 team. They are just 33-39 on the road and over their past seven games, they have scored 3.1 runs per game. Arizona scores 5.1 per game at home. St. Louis is 0-9 this year as a dog of +125 to +175 as they live down to expectations. Arizona and Webb.


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Pass It On
How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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