Free Baseball Pick - September 07, 2007
Pair of 4-unit plays today...
Today's MLB Baseball Picks:
Game: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Tampa Bay +115 (risk 4 to win 4.6)
The road and RHP is not the type of game where the Blue Jays produce their best results. The Jays are the fourth-worst road team to the moneyline in all of baseball, and near the bottom against RHP as well. They also are just 9-17 on the road against sub .500 teams. Tampa Bay has played their best baseball of the season of late as they have now gone 10-3 over their last 13 games. They have produced more runs over this 13 game stretch, than any team in baseball. The D-Rays have scored 9.07 runs per game (RPG) in their last 13. Edwin Jackson was 0-8 with an 8.20 ERA in mid June, but he has lowered that to the mid-fives and has picked up four wins and pitching much better. Dustin McGowan has pitched well, but the Jays inability to score on the road has cost him, as the Jays stand just 3-9 in his road starts. His personal ERA has not helped the cause, as he has a road ERA that is 1.5 runs higher than at home. We like the hot D-Rays to take game 1.
Game: Oakland at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern)Pick: 4 units on Texas +126 (risk 4 to win 5)
Dan Haren was unconscious at the beginning of the season. The A's were 12-4 in his first 16 starts, and he was pitching to an ERA of 1.78. He allowed as many as three earned runs only twice, with the 14 other starts allowing two or less. He allowed as many as seven hits in a start just once. Things have really changed. The A's are just 6-7 in his last 13 starts, and he has allowed three runs or more in 8 of the 13 starts, and seven hits or more in 12 of the 13! That adds up to 96 hits in 80 innings, and an ERA of 4.78. The Rangers are a very hot team right now, as they are 9-2 over their last 11 games, and have produced five or more runs in 10 of the 13. Edinson Volquez was 14-1 with a 2.55 ERA in the minors before his September call up, and has a start under his belt, so he should settle down for this one. We like the Rangers in the opener here.
Results: 1-1
MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-06-2007
Weak offense and bad pitching = favorite? The St. Louis offense is too cold right now to be favored here. They have totaled just 18 hits in their last three games and they've notched 7 or fewer ru...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-05-2007
Tim Hudson has had a very streaky season. He started off better than just about any pitcher in baseball, as the Braves were 7-2 while he pitched to a 1.77 ERA into the middle of May. He then went cold...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-04-2007
The Rockies are a hot team right now having gone 7-3 in their last 10. They have also somewhat quietly become a devastating home team, as they stand at 26-9 in their last 35 at home. They score 5...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-03-2007
The Mets will have an emotional lift today, as Pedro Martinez makes his season debut. The Mets are already feeling good, having beaten the Braves in three straight, wiping out the ill feelings of gett...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-02-2007
Philadelphia has been the hotter of these two teams but yesterday's 6-run win by Florida broke that up. Today Florida gets to tee off on Adam Eaton who boasts a 6.23 ERA (9.69 over his has three s...
