Sports Pick Mlb - September 04, 2008
The dogs were barkin' on the MLB diamond yesterday as we nailed three big money line dogs to finish +3.3 units. We hit with San Francisco (+189), Pittsburgh (+181) and Houston (+197) for another winning day. Over the last two and a half weeks we are hitting 56% and are up +17.1 units. Today we feature three picks from two games including a 4-unit play.
Today's MLB Baseball Picks:
Game: Oakland at Kansas City (5:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Oakland +100 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 +100 (risk 4 to win 4)
This is a matchup of two teams where the season can't end fast enough. Both finished August reaching the unsightly 20 loss plateau as neither team has been able to generate offense. How bad has it been for the A's to push across runs? The A's have managed just 126 runs in their last 45 games, resulting in 29 UNDERS to just 16 OVERS. The Royals’ offense hasn't fared much better as they have produced just 139 runs in their last 38 games or 3.65 runs a game. That has led to 25 UNDERS to 13 OVERS. The combined tally here is 83 games, 54 UNDERS to 29 OVERS. These teams have now met four times during their respective offensive droughts, resulting in four UNDERS. We will not buck the trend as the UNDER is the play here. We also like the A's here as Dana Eveland has some skewed numbers, as he has imploded a couple times distorting his ERA. Eveland has actually has allowed three runs or less in 19 of his 24 starts while Bannister has now given up 4+ in seven of his last 11. I like the A's and the UNDER here, and please note this is for GAME ONE.
Game: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 PM Eastern)Pick: 2 units on Atlanta -1.5 runs +147 (runline) (risk 2 to win 2.9)
The Washington Nationals made a big run at home winning eight of nine, but now they must face the road. The Nationals haven't matched that win total in their last 29, as they are on a 7-22 road disaster in their last 29. I don't think starting a rookie that has no more than AA experience is the answer to the Nats’ road woes. Shairon Martis worked just 74 innings with a four ERA on that level. Jo Jo Reyes has been awful on the road where the Braves are just 2-8 in his 10 starts. Reyes has allowed four runs or less in seven of his nine home starts. I expect the Braves to have a bit of an attitude having been swept by the Nats on the road last week, and will tee off on the AA starter, and the Nats’ pen will allow even more. I will go with the Braves and the runline here.
Results: 1-2
MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-03-2008
The Red Sox have been a solid choice at home all season long as they have put together a 47-19 mark at Fenway. While Baltimore has been a solid .500+ team at home they have struggled when leaving the ...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-02-2008
Glen Perkins owns an awesome 12-3 record but his ERA isn't what you might expect with that kind of record (it is 4.00). The fact is, he's pitching has been average but he's been ...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-01-2008
The Rockies have to have Arizona and Los Angeles nervous. Last year we all saw them come from nowhere to take the division and stretch it all the way to the World Series. The Rockies are on a 25-16 st...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-31-2008
The Giants average just 3.9 runs per game. They own a 29-37 road mark and a 19-30 record in day games this season. The Reds, terrible on the road, are a decent, winning team at home. The pitching matc...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-30-2008
The Rays have put an end to any thoughts of their demise this late in the season - this is just flat out a good team. The Rays are 50-19 at home and 60-32 against right-handed pitching overall. The Ra...
