Mlb Game Predictions - September 02, 2009

We are coming off a perfect day on the MLB diamond yesterday going 3-0 for +10.7 units.  This brings our three month total to 195-132 for 60% and+158.5 units.  We have more than doubled our subscriber's bankrolls since the beginning of the MLB season at +127.2 units.  Today we have five premium picks, including an early game selection.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
WNBA	94-76 last 170 picks	55%	+$2470
MLB	195-132 last 327 picks	60%	+$15850
NBA	299-237 last 536 picks	56%	+$12460
NFL	72-44 last 116 picks	62%	+$7320
TOTAL			+$38100

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (12:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Cincinnati -130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.3)

The Pirates have really mailed it in, especially on the road. They have dropped all six games on their current road trip and last night's game was essentially over in the 1st inning when Cincinnati scored four runs. It runs their road total to a 1-15 mark over their last 16. If that isn't bad enough, try 4-27 over their last 31 road games, a complete meltdown and no-show. They have their ace on the mound today in Zach Duke, but it has meant little to the results of their games. The Pirates are just 2-9 in his last 11 starts. They are also now just 1-10 in his last 11 road starts. Homer Bailey has pitched much better for the Reds as he has an ERA of under three in his last three starts and has allowed just a single run in his last two. I will go with the Reds in this one.

This is becoming just about an automatic pull the trigger against the Pirates road disaster that has seen them drop 15 of their last 16 and 27 of their last 31. When you look at their last ten road losses, the Pirates would have lost to a would be +1.5 runline in nine of them. This is a team where the manager has definitely lost, they simply aren't playing for him and the talent level isn't exactly rich here either. I'm also going with the Reds on the runline here.

The Oakland A's send Trevor Cahill to the mound vs the Royals. Cahill, who has pitched an up and down season which spells a .500 record overall, has not fared well vs teams with a losing record. They have been just 2-7 in his nine starts vs a team with a losing record and at 1.5-1 odds here those aren't the numbers that make the A's an appealing wager. By the same token, the Royals have risen to the occasion as has starting pitcher for this one, Brian Bannister, on the road as a +110 to +150 dog. The Royals are a nifty 5-1 in this dog situation, behind Bannister. Looks to be a live dog for this one and I'm going to go with the Royals to get it done here.

Anytime you can get a competent team like the Giants at a value of almost 2-1 you have to look for reasons they are better than the odds. The Giants road record is a bit deceiving, because they began the season 0-6 on the road, and then suffered through a 1-5 trip in May. That accounts for all of their deficit as being a team well below .500 on the road. The Giants have been an excellent bounce back team off a loss as they are playing nearly .600 baseball on the season, that includes 6-2 in their last eight off a loss. While the Phillies are just 1-4 after their opponent scores two runs or less, the Giants have come back from scoring two or less to go 6-2 in their next game. Giants have taken five of the last seven games from the Phillies, so no intimidation here. I'll back the Giants in this one.

The Giants have a reputation for being a poor choice on the road at 11 under .500, but all of that deficit to .500 was accrued during April and May from two horrible road trips. They have actually been a good road team since. This is a team that over their last 31 on the road would actually be 20-11 to a would be +1.5 runline. They have done a great job vs the Phillies as the last six times they have played in Philadelphia they have covered a +1.5 runline in all six games. I will go with the Giants here on the runline.

Results: 4-1

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• Here we show our 2009 MLB prior picks.
• View our mlb picks blog here.
• Here we show our Baseball handicapping philosophy.
• Check out MLB prior picks here.
• View Baseball Game-of-Day-Preview here.
• Updated today: mlb sports book.
• Don't forget to visit our MLB odds and lines.
• View our free mlb pick here.
• View our updated mlb against-the-spread records.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-September-01-2009
The Pittsburgh Pirates dropped both games yesterday, making their road record dip to 18-48. The Pirates have now lost their last nine on the road, and 14 of their last 15. It also means they are now 3...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-30-2009
Zack Greinke has posted a 2.43 ERA this season, going seven full innings on average in the process. He's allowed just 49 earned runs and 39 walks in 181 innings pitched, while striking out 197. Ov...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-29-2009
Jeremy Sowers has pitched much better for the Indians of late. Despite a poor performance in his last outing, his previous five outings showed an impressive 3.09 ERA. The Orioles counter with rookie C...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-28-2009
The Tigers have become a very potent home team as they are now 25-9 here in their last 34 played at home, which has kept them atop the Central division. The Rays’ problems have been on the road ...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-27-2009
The Cincinnati Reds hung in the NL Central race for awhile, but those hopes have all disappeared as this team has sunk hard and fast, thanks to a bad run of 12-28 in their last 40 games. The Reds are ...