Major League Baseball Pick - October 21, 2009

After a tough day on the MLB ound yesterday, we look to come back with two premium picks for you tonight.  Over the past four and a half months our MLB picks are 265-212 for +101.7 units.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	38-32 last 70 picks	54%	+$210
MLB	265-212 last 477 picks	56%	+$10170
NBA	299-237 last 536 picks	56%	+$12460
NHL	1-1 last 2 picks	50%	($50)
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$28280

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Los Angeles Dodgers +130 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.6)

The Dodgers are on the brink of elimination as the Phillies have captured a three games to one lead and look to close out the series tonight in Philadelphia. Cole Hamels will get the ball for the Phillies and, while he was piling up honors last year in the post-season, things have been considerably different this year. Hamels led the Phillies to a 5-0 mark in the post-season last year, winning nearly half of all the Phillies post-season games on their way to the World Series Title. Hamels has not been the same pitcher this season and, lately, he has taken a step back. The Phillies are just 4-8 in his last 12 trips to the mound and his last five starts have all been sub-par. The line reads 27 innings and 21 earned runs for a 7.00 ERA, he has served up five round-trippers in the process, and has not recorded more than five strikeouts in any of the games, something he topped  in each of the six starts prior to that. Vicente Padilla was a late move by the Dodgers to shore up their pitching and he has done just that as he was the starter in the only Dodger win in the series. Since coming over to the Dodgers, the blue and white are 8-2 in his ten starts with a 2.52 ERA. The Dodgers are 5-0 in his last five road starts and I'll back LA to extend the series tonight.

The Dodgers are on the brink of elimination, which means all in tonight. The bullpen will have everyone available. Padilla has led the Dodgers to an 8-2 mark, including 5-0 on the road, and even though the Phillies are 6-2 in the post-season, they are just 3-5 to a -1.5 runline. Dodgers have been 23-8 as a road pup from +110 to +150 in their last 31 and also 5-1 in the playoffs to those same numbers. Phillies have lost Hamel's last four starts as a favorite and I'm backing the Dodgers on the runline in this one.

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• View 2009 MLB picks season results here.
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• Updated today: MLB previous picks.
• View our MLB Game-of-Day Analysis here.
• Take a look at our mlb sports book here.
• Here we show our MLB Baseball lines.
• Updated today: free mlb picks.
• Updated today: baseball ATS recrds.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-20-2009
The Yankees got a healthy dose of what they have been doing to teams all year as they were the victim of a walk-off hit that gave the Angels life in the series now facing a 2-1 deficit instead of 3-0 ...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-19-2009
The New York Yankees look like the team that went on to win World Series as opposed to the ones that have been basically one-and-done of late. The difference has been the starting pitching, which for ...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-17-2009
The Yankees have had such limited postseason success the past few years, but the change is becoming quite noticeable. The problem was the Yankees’ lack of quality at the top of their rotation an...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-15-2009
There is definitely an added edge here with Hamels having a lot of winning experience for the Phillies in the postseason. He has also truly delivered vs. this Dodgers team as the Phillies have won fou...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-11-2009
The Red Sox have really struggled to get hits in the first two games of this series (eight total). I like them to return to form at least today to avoid the dreaded sweep. Don't forget that Boston...