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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
MLB Baseball Premium Edition
October 21, 2006

darrell,

It's Detroit and St. Louis for the 2006 World Series. Like the home team tonight...

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The Wunderdog


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Note: risk 1% of bankroll per unit. Never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any single pick.

Game: St. Louis at Detroit (8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Detroit -187 (risk 3 to win 1.6)

Detroit is well rested and seem to be a team of destiny this year. Justin Verlander is 8-3 at home with a 3.31 ERA. Compare that to Anthony Reyes' 2-5 road mark with a 5.29 ERA. There is no comparison. While St. Louis barely made it out of the last round and holds a 7-4 playoff mark, Detroit is 7-1 so far. They were 15-3 in interleague play this year winning those eighteen games by an average score of 6.2 to 3.9. St. Louis was 5-10 in cross-league play giving up 7 runs per game. As a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season, the Cards are 2-13! And they are 9-22 on the road vs. winning teams and 2-17 away from home vs. elite teams (outscoring opponents by 0.5+ runs per game). Folks, on paper this looks like a very easy Detroit win and I think that's exactly what happens tonight. Tigers in game one.


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How much to bet? I recommend that you risk between 2% and 5% of your bankroll on each game (1-star = 2%, 2-star = 2.5%, 3-star = 3%, 4-star = 4% and 5-star = 5% of bankroll). It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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