Free Mlb Pick - October 18, 2007
We have been in plus units wire-to-wire this baseball season, including the playoffs. Playoffs are rolling along to the tune of 10-5 for 67% and +19.3 units.
Today's MLB Baseball Picks:
Game: Boston at Cleveland (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Game one featured this same matchup of Cy Young contenders, and was expected to be a pitching duel between Sabathia and Beckett. It never materialized. We expect this one to be a classic pitchers duel, and why not? Entering the postseason, Sabathia had pitched 9 of 10 under 8.5 runs- tonight's totals, and now he is matched up with Beckett once again that saw 61.5% of his road starts fall below the 8.5-run mark. The Red Sox have their back against the wall and that means everyone is available to pitch in this one, and likely longer than usual. You could see Okajima for two and Papelbon for two innings if needed, especially since neither has seen much action. The Indians have been an UNDER team throughout the entire course of the second half as they are now 52-34 to the UNDER, and their bullpen has been putting up goose eggs throughout the playoffs. That translates into a 38-20 UNDER record, after the pen has pitched to a WHIP of under 1.00, for five days, covering three years. The Red Sox have had trouble scoring in this series and against teams .500+, as they have slid in under the total in 29 of 43 games against the good teams, .500+. They have also left their bats at home, as playing on the road has seen them 50-32 to the UNDER as well, and when they are on the road after a loss, they have played 23 unders in 35 games on the road. The first round pitching duel did not happen, tonight it does.
MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-16-2007
This is a no call for us, too many conflicts with both side and total. Here is some info, for those that choose to venture in on this one. Wakefield has been awful against .500+ teams, 77.1 innings, 8...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-15-2007
We have watched these two teams pile up the runs so far in the post-season. The Indians have played six games that have produced 72 runs (12 per game). In the five Red Sox games we have...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-14-2007
Can Colorado be stopped? Right now it looks like the answer is no. While it was offense that was doing it towards the end of the regular season, it's been their pitching in the playoffs. They have...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-12-2007
This is what the MLB postseason is all about. We have the two teams that tied for the most wins squaring off in the ALCS at Fenway. The weather has finally turned to spring in the Northeast, and tempe...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-11-2007
The Colarado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks open the NLCS tonight, and at the beginning of the season, neither were likely candidates to be here. The Rockies used a late season surge that has ri...
