Mlb Predictions - October 15, 2009

Despite having a lackluster playoffs thus far, we are +101 units on the MLB diamond over the last four months (260-208). Tonight, we kickoff the NLCS with a pair of picks, including a 5-unit selection, from the Phillies vs. Dodgers game one matchup.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	35-29 last 64 picks	55%	+$560
MLB	260-208 last 468 picks	56%	+$10100
NBA	299-237 last 536 picks	56%	+$12460
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$28610

 

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Philadelphia at Los Angeles (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia +130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.9)

There is definitely an added edge here with Hamels having a lot of winning experience for the Phillies in the postseason. He has also truly delivered vs. this Dodgers team as the Phillies have won four of his five starts against them. Overall, the Phillies have beaten this Dodgers team in 11 of the last 17 meetings including a 3-0 win in LA behind Hamels over Kershaw. The Phillies have been on the winning side against left-hand pitching in 29 of 45 and are plus units on the season. The Dodgers, meanwhile, at 27-20 vs. lefthanders are negative units despite the winning record indicating they've been over-valued. With at least one day of rest, the Phillies have come out with a hot hand going 30-11 and they are also taking down the big teams where they are 41-17 on the road vs. teams that have a winning percentage of .600+ at home. I like them in the dog role here where they are 6-1 in their last seven when posted as a dog of +110 to +150. I like the Phillies in game one.

You have to like the chances here taking a run and a half on a team that has won outright 65% of the last 17 meetings. It’s even sweeter when you have a pitcher on the mound in Hamels that has delivered a Philly win over the Dodgers 80% of the time. Then add in that the Phillies, off at least one day of rest are winning 73.1% of the time, and you have lots of big plus numbers behind the Phillies here. Hamels already shut the Dodgers out here, and he faced off vs. Kershaw in that one. History repeats itself tonight and I'll take the Phillies on the runline.

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• View our updated 2009 MLB prior pick results.
• Here we show our blog baseball picks.
• Take a look at our how to bet mlb here.
• View MLB prior picks here.
• Read our MLB Baseball Game-of-Day Analysis here.
• Check out sports betting mlb here.
• Don't forget to read our MLB Baseball lines and odds here.
• Updated today: mlb baseball handicapping.
• Read our MLB ATS standings here.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-11-2009
The Red Sox have really struggled to get hits in the first two games of this series (eight total). I like them to return to form at least today to avoid the dreaded sweep. Don't forget that Boston...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-10-2009
The Colorado Rockies head home after getting the game they wanted and erasing the Phillies home-field advantage. The series is now a best of three with the next two in Colorado. Jason Hammel began the...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-09-2009
The Yankees came from behind to take the opener from the Twins and hold a 1-0 lead coming into game two. The oddsmakers are really making you pay a huge price if you like the Yankees and the pendulum ...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-08-2009
The Phillies took a 1-0 series lead with a complete game performance by Cliff Lee, and will go woith Cole Hamels in game two. The Phillies lefthander was named the MVP of the NL Championship Series, a...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-07-2009
Everyone, including the oddsmakers, is playing the "fatigue" angle here on the Twins. Let's be real, these are kids in their 20s and 30s and trust me, they won't be tired. They will ...