Mlb Free Picks - October 13, 2008
Yesterday we nailed our 4-unit moneyline play on the Dodgers as LA moved closer to evening up the NLCS. Today we go with three MLB playoffs picks. Over the last three weeks our MLB picks are hitting 58% (15-11) for +14.3 units.
Today's MLB Baseball Picks:
Game: Tampa Bay at Boston (4:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston -187 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.6)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Tampa Bay Rays will head to Boston with the series tied at one game apiece. The Red Sox will send Jon Lester to the mound who has been money at Fenway this season as he is 11-1 with a 2.49 ERA. Overall the Sox are 17-4 in his 21 home starts. This is a crucial game in the series and Lester has completed seven innings in 70% of his last 20 starts. We could also see Jonathon Papelbon for a two-inning save, and he has yet to allow a run in the postseason ever. The Rays have been 5-10 this season behind Matt Garza on the road, so I like the Sox here to take the lead in the series. I also like the prospects of the UNDER here, as the combination of Lester and Papelbon could shutout the Rays. Plus the fact that this game is starting in the late afternoon, with the shadows and twilight for the first two hours or so of the game will make it difficult on hitters.
Game: Philadelphia at Los Angeles Dodgers (8:20 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Dodgers -177 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.7)
The Dodgers got a desperately needed win yesterday to move them to within one game in the series, now down just 2-1. They have their hottest pitcher on the hill with a lot of postseason experience behind him in Derek Lowe for this one. Lowe will get this opportunity at home, where he has been more than two runs a game better on the season. Lowe has a 2.30 ERA at home, and has allowed 29 fewer hits than innings pitched while his WHIP is under one in home games. Joe Blanton is the weakest link on the Phillies staff completing the season with a 4.69 ERA. This series has the look of a seven-gamer, and the Dodgers have their biggest edge of the series here behind Lowe, and at home, so I will back the Blue and White to even things up at two games apiece.
MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-12-2008
The Dodgers have their work cut-out for them as they head back to LA trailing the Phillies two games to none. They will send Hiroki Kuroda to the mound and he has been a hot pitcher of late. In his fi...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-10-2008
The Tampa Bay Rays will continue their quest for a first-ever World Series appearance tonight against the Boston Red Sox who have won two of the last four. They will send Jamie Shields to the hill for...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-08-2008
Cole Hamels gets the ball for the Phillies here while Derek Lowe gets the assignment for the Dodgers. Both of these pitchers had fast finishes to the regular season, and have been pitching well. The P...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-05-2008
The Boston Red Sox come home up two games to none in the series and will try to put the Angels away tonight. They will start Josh Beckett who has been the best postseason pitcher in baseball over the ...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-04-2008
The Milwaukee Brewers head home down two games to none and will attempt to stave off elimination. The Brewers have been playing tight and will face the “ageless” one in 45-year-old Jamie M...
