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Major League Baseball Pick - October 09, 2009We went 2-4 yesterday. Today , we look to start the same winning trend of 387-327 for +92.6 units we had throughout MLB season with three premium picks.
 Today's MLB Baseball Picks: The Yankees came from behind to take the opener from the Twins and hold a 1-0 lead coming into game two. The oddsmakers are really making you pay a huge price if you like the Yankees and the pendulum of value has swung in the favor of the Twins regardless of the resulting outcome, it is simply the right side. The Twins played four games at Yankee Stadium this season and never faced a moneyline of over -185. That series included AJ Burnett on the mound for the Yankees at -156, so now he is -300? There is certainly no value in that on the Yankees and plenty on the Twins. The Twins played competitively in every single game and three of the four required 9th inning Yankee heroics to win. While the Yankees have played better, so have the Twins coming into this one at 17-5 in their last 22 games and they are also 21-6 in their last 27 vs a righthander. Posada won't play in this one, so he either gets the DH nod or sits, but in either case it takes a bat out of the lineup with Molina behind the plate. These odds are way to long and I'm backing the Twins here.Game: Boston at Los Angeles Angels (9:35 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on Los Angeles Angels -110 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.6) The Red Sox opened this series amid the talk of their domination of the Angels in the post-season, but that didn't work out very well in the opener as they dropped a 5-0 decision and were held to just four hits which is just one more hit than the error count for the Sox at three. Many were surprised not to see Josh Beckett on the mound as he is acclaimed to be the money pitcher in post-season, but that may say more in itself than we know. Beckett has really struggled. He opened the season allowing ten HR's in his first 22 starts, but then the roof fell in and he has served up 15 in just his last ten starts, which has been ugly. Beckett has a 6.02 ERA in his last ten starts. His post-season prowess took a major hit a year ago as he worked 14 innings, allowed 22 hits and pitched to an 8.79 ERA. Jerod Weaver in limited appearances actually has a better post-season ERA than Beckett. Speaking of Weaver, he is the owner of a 51-27 career record and pitched to an 0.66 ERA vs the Sox in two starts this season. The Sox have no outstanding numbers vs Weaver, but the Angel lineup is chock full of hitters that have had great success against Beckett. The worm has turned and the Angels get the call here.Game: Boston at Los Angeles Angels (9:40 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 runs +190 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.7) The Angels quieted the rumors of the Sox coming in here, laying their hats on the field and going back to Fenway up 2-0. It isn't quite that easy as the Angels hung a goose-egg on the Sox 5-0 and I think more of the same is coming. Beckett has been awful with a 6.02 ERA his last ten starts serving up 15 HRS in the process. Weaver has held this Sox lineup in check with an 0.66 ERA in two starts on the season. Weaver is 51-27 for his career, so Beckett has the name but Weaver has out pitched him and the Sox numbers vs Weaver are nothing to brag about, while several Angel hitters have laid it on Beckett. I'm going with the Angels here on the runline. Results: 2-1 MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters: MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-08-2009 MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-07-2009 MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-04-2009 MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-03-2009 MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-02-2009 |
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