Mlb Pick - November 04, 2009

We missed the mark when the Yankees failed to close the series on Tuesday night.  However, our MLB picks are still going strong at 265-218 for +86.7 units over the last five months.  On the season we are 397-350 for +55.4 units.  Tonight we have one premium pick for you.

 

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
MLB	265-218 last 483 picks	55%	+$8670
NBA	15-11 Season-to-Date	58%	+$690
NHL	21-15 last 36 picks	58%	+$160
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$15010

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Philadelphia at New York Yankees (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia +180 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 5.4)

The NY Yankees are a game away from their first World Series win since 2000. It won't come easy as the Phillies won't give up their reigning Championship easily. This is more about the line value than anything else as the oddsmakers have taken all the value out of playing the Yankees here. Andy Pettitte made four starts this season as a -200 or more chalk. Looking at the teams and matchups in those games will reveal how "chalky" this line truly is. Those four starts were vs all teams that were below .500 on the season (NY Mets,Balt twice and Oakland). Those teams were a combined 114-200 on the road and the starting pitchers he faced had a combined 15-25 record overall. He also pitched as a -180 or higher chalk vs Oak,Texas and Boston, teams with a combined road record of 113-130 and three starting pitchers with era's of 7.16,6.12, and 5.82. This is hardly anything to compare to those situations with the Phillies and Pedro Martinez. So, basically, the oddsmakers have listed the Phillies in this one in much the same way they did with those teams and pitchers, so the only value here, and there is obviously a lot of it, is on the Phillies, and they get the call here.

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• Hop over to our MLB picks here.
• Updated today: MLB Game Analysis.
• Take a look at our baseball sports book reviews here.
• Don't forget to visit our Baseball odds.
• Updated today: baseball handicapping.
• Updated today: baseball against-the-spread standings.
• View our updated mlb picks blog.
• Don't forget to visit our 2009 baseball pick season results.
• Here we show our MLB sports handicapping philosophy.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-November-02-2009
The Yankees struggles in the postseason were all about the lack of pitching at the top of the rotation, so they went out and signed CC Sabathia and AJ Burnett in the off season. The dividends of that ...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-28-2009
The Philadelphia Phillies begin their quest to repeat as baseball's World Champions against the NY Yankees at the Stadium in game one. The Phillies will wheel out Cliff Lee, who has come up big si...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-22-2009
The Angels have reached the brink as they are now in sudden death with the Yankees. The Yankees are looking like the Bombers of old, getting big hits and more importantly, getting the top of the rotat...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-21-2009
The Dodgers are on the brink of elimination as the Phillies have captured a three games to one lead and look to close out the series tonight in Philadelphia. Cole Hamels will get the ball for the Phil...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-October-20-2009
The Yankees got a healthy dose of what they have been doing to teams all year as they were the victim of a walk-off hit that gave the Angels life in the series now facing a 2-1 deficit instead of 3-0 ...