Baseball Betting Free Pick - May 19, 2008
We went 3-4 yesterday. We're sitting at 23-11 (68%) for +37.7 units over the past week. Today we like two games...
Today's MLB Baseball Picks:
Game: Chicago Cubs at Houston (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Houston +114 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 4.6)
The Astros return home after a marathon 10-game road trip. On the trip they went 7-3, scoring 5.8 runs per game. Lance Berkman hit .545 on the trip as his team scored less than 5 runs just twice on the trip. Now they return home where they are 11-6, averaging 5.6 runs per game. The Cubs are scoring in droves at home (6.7 per game) but on the road they are averaging just 4.3 runs per game. Ted Lilly has pitched well at home but on the road he's got a 6.43 ERA! Wrong team favored here and we'll back the very live home dog.
Game: Texas at Minnesota (8:10 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on Minnesota -118 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.5)
Texas bats haven't shown up away from home so far this season as the Rangers are getting just 4.4 runs per game. They go with Scott Feldman who has been good thus far, but backing him up is a bullpen that has been terrible, pitching to a 6.05 road ERA. The Twins, despite a weak offense, finds ways to win. THey are 14-10 at home thanks to great pitching that is limiting opponents to 3.8 runs per game at home. Boof Bonser hasn't been stellar but unlike the Rangers, backing up Bonser is a pen that has been outstanding. They haven't blown a save in 10 tries at home and have posted a 2.02 ERA. Bonser is 21-10 the past three seasons a -125 to +125. The past two seasons the Rangers are just 8-20 on th road at -125 to +125. We'll take the home squad here.
Results: 1-1
MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:
MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-18-2008
Something is different with the Marlins. They are 24-18 to start the season and, get this, they are spending money! They laid out $70 million for a six-year deal with Hanley Ramirez on Saturday - the ...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-17-2008
Tampa Bay enters red-hot while the Cards have been struggling mightily after a good start. The problem for the Cards is they can't seem to get anyone out anymore, and in the past 14 games, the opp...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-16-2008
Washington spoiled the Mets chances to make the playoffs last September, and come back and take three of four in NY. Other than being Met killers the track record on the road for the Nats isn't ve...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-15-2008
This game is all about Ben Sheets and more importantly, a healthy Ben Sheets. This guy doesn't get the same credit as other top pitchers in the league, because of his oft-injured status, but he is...
MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-14-2008
The Red Sox have been cruising at home, but sure have had trouble on the road of late. They have been swept already this season in Tampa and Toronto, and just lost three of four in Minnesota as well a...
