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Mlb Baseball Pick Online - June 28, 2008We finished 5-3 yesterday to grab +6.6 units. The win kept us above the 100-unit mark at +111.2 and hitting 60% (126-84) over the last six weeks. Four plays today with two 4-unit picks.
Today's MLB Baseball Picks: Minnesota is sizzling right now posting yet another come from behind win last night over the Brewers to run their streak to 10 games and 12 of 13. How can there not be value on a home team as a slight dog, winning night in night out? Livan Hernandez has been an innings eater for the Twins, but he has been so much more than that as the Twins have posted a 12-5 mark in games where he takes the mound. Milwaukee has been a dominating home team winning better than two of three, but the road shows them five games under .500. Right now the Twins have to be played, especially with this kind of moneyline at home. Game: Arizona at Florida (7:10 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on Florida +124 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5) The D-backs were out of the gate in a hurry, but they have stalled and fallen apart, dipping under the .500 mark. Brandon Webb has been part of the struggle as he has pitched to a 7+ ERA over his last three starts. After the D-backs won his first nine starts they have been just 2-5 since. The road woes for this team continue as they are now just 7-20 in their last 27. Andrew Miller posted a 9+ ERA in April, but has since shaved off four runs and has it down to five now and 3.00 in his last three starts. We like the value of this Marlins team at home. Game: Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Angels +114 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.4) Chad Billingsley has followed his rookie success into this season, and has established himself as a quality starter. The problem he faces, as do many of the Dodgers' pitchers, is the lack of run support. The Dodgers' offense has sputtered all season, and has already produced 24 games scoring one run or less! That means even a good pitcher like Billingsley has managed to lead the Dodgers to only a 6-9 mark in his 15 starts. The Angels have played well over the last month or so posting a 22-13 mark in their last 35 games. Jered Weaver pitched poorly to start the season as the Angels posted wins in just two of those eight starts. They have reversed that fortune as Weaver has been more like the pitcher that carries a 31-16 career mark into this game. The Angels have now posted wins in six of his last eight starts. The Angels are the better team, and the Dodgers can't be trusted offensively, so we back the Angels to even the series tonight. Game: Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:15 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Angels +1.5 runs -199 (runline) (risk 3 to win 1.5) From our moneyline write-up, there is a huge amount of value getting +1.5 runs in a matchup with the Dodgers as they have failed to plate more than one run in 24 games this season. The Angels are featuring a pitcher in Weaver that has posted wins in 31 of his 47 career decisions and the Angels have won six of his last eight. We like the Angels here anyway, but taking them on the runline as well against a poor Dodgers' offense. Results: 1-3 MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters: MLB-Baseball-Picks-June-27-2008 MLB-Baseball-Picks-June-26-2008 MLB-Baseball-Picks-June-25-2008 MLB-Baseball-Picks-June-24-2008 MLB-Baseball-Picks-June-23-2008 |
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