Free Mlb Predictions - June 04, 2008

Our MLB picks continue to win as we posted another winning day going 6-3 for +7.2 units yesterday. Over the last three weeks we are up an amazing +91.6 units and hitting 65% (75-41). A full card of seven plays today.

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WUNDERDOG 2008 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
MLB	75-41 last 116 picks	65%	+$9160
NBA	30-22 last 52 picks	58%	+$1750
NHL	44-26 last 70 picks	63%	+$3480
TOTAL			+$14390

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Florida at Atlanta (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 10 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Atlanta has already played in 31 games where they have scored four runs or less. They also have a pitching staff that does not give up too many runs at 3.58. Their bullpen has been outstanding as well, as they have pitched to a 3.20 ERA. Tom Glavine has already pitched seven games out of 10 allowing two runs or less. Mark Hendrickson has had a couple of bad outings including a 10 earned run effort last time out, but overall he has pitched 8 of 12 allowing three runs or less. Both of these pitchers have had a bad outing or two that makes this number an attractive UNDER when looking at the entire body of work. The Marlin pen is also top 10, entering with a 3.48 ERA. UNDER gets the call here.

The Rockies have struggled all year long. Although Aaron Cook has average numbers, he has been less than average in his career on the road. The past 3+ years have seen the Rockies go 12-21 in games he has started. This year teams have plated an average of 5.6 runs a game when he is on the hill on the road. The Dodgers have won both of Clayton Kershaw's starts and he was impressive at home allowing just two runs to the Cards. The Rockies are just 9-24 on the road on the season and this will be a tough spot for them today. Dodgers get the nod.

Looking at this game before the season started, Oakland is the dog here. My, how things have changed. You really have to wonder about Nate Robertson and his future as a starter in Detroit. His ERA has been on the rise now for 2+ years and the Tigers are just 18-34 in his last 52 starts and Detroit is realizing that it's hard to build a championship team this way. Justin Duchscherer has been remarkable for the A's. He has made eight starts and hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of them! Compare that to Robertson who has allowed 4+ in 9 of 11, and it is easy to see where the value lies in this one.

The Mets are a tease team. Just when you think they have collapsed, they put together some good games. Just when you think they have found it, they collapse again. The road has been unkind to the Mets as they sit well below .500. John Maine has not been the consistent pitcher he was last season for the Mets. They have now dropped each of his last three starts, where he sports a 6.19 ERA. The Giants Matt Cain has kept them in just about every game he has pitched. That is represented by the fact he has seven no-decisions in 12 starts. Cain has lowered his walk totals from 23 in his first six starts to just 12 in his last six and has showed signs of improvement. This is a good place for the Mets to fall with a struggling pitcher against a young maturing arm finding the strike zone.

Edinson Volquez has some All-Star credentials at this point of the season and a lot of that has been done in front of the home crowd where he is a perfect 6-0. The numbers on the road show the Reds sitting at just 3-3 in his starts. Brett Myers has struggled at times as he is back to his starting role. He has been much improved of late as opponents have not topped four runs in any of his last three starts. The Phillies are getting scary at home as their big hitters are hitting big. The Reds really can't find answers away from home at 9-21, so the Phillies get the nod here.

The Birds are 4-9 over their last 13 for one big reason. They have difficulty much of the time producing runs and the last 13 show them averaging just 3.6 a game. This output makes it very difficult to land in the win column, especially on the road. Sidney Ponson has found what he had lost over the past several seasons. The Twins have won five of his last seven starts while his ERA remains in the 3s - which is excellent these days in the AL. When the Twins gave up Santana, many felt they would slip to the basement, but here they are in June, only 1.5 games out of first and a real threat in the AL Central. Baltimore still hasn't learned to win on the road at 11-18 and we like the Twins at home here.

The Cubs certainly have it going, but the full body of work says they are a sub-.500 road team. So as a favorite, you can certainly find value opposing them, which has been the case this year especially with Ted Lilly on the mound. Lilly has already been knocked out of games four times this season without completing five innings and his last three outings have him sitting on a 6+ ERA. Greg Maddux is remarkable. Many felt at 42 he is hanging on too long. His 3.69 ERA abondons those thoughts quickly, especially when you look down and see that he has walked just 12 all season - his control is precision. The Padres have been bad, but with Maddox on the mound they have won four of his last five starts. So as a dog at home, in a favorable pitching matchup, we will back the Padres here.

Results: 3-3

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Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-June-03-2008
Ken Griffey Jr. looks to become the sixth player to reach the 600-club tonight. He may or may not get it but what we are concerned with is the outcome of the game. We like the Phils at home behind Ada...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-June-02-2008
This is a Yankees lineup that has underachieved all season and already have played in 18 games where the offense has produced two runs or less. The road has not been the place for the offense to ...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-June-01-2008
Milwaukee goes for the sweep of the Astros and we like their chances of getting it in what should be a high-scoring affair. David Bush is 1-5 with a 6.04 ERA. Milwaukee averages just 4.2 runs per game...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-30-2008
Chicago owns the best mark in the league at 33-21 and they have won four straight. We really like their chances today of getting #5 in a row. Yes, Aaron Cook goes for Colorado and he has been a l...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-29-2008
Atlanta has been two different teams. While dominating everyone at home, they have been dominated on the road where they are just 6-18 on the season. Jorge Campillo has come out of the bullpen to pitc...