Baseball Gambling Pick - June 02, 2008

We went 5-1 yesterday for +11.7 units. We're now hitting 66% (68-35) over the past three weeks, good for +90.3 units ($9,030 for $100 players)!

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WUNDERDOG 2008 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
MLB	68-35 last 103 picks	66%	+$9030
NBA	30-22 last 52 picks	58%	+$1750
NHL	44-25 last 69 picks	64%	+$3780
TOTAL			+$14560

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: New York Yankees at Minnesota (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 9.5 -120 (risk 3 to win 2.5)

This is a Yankees lineup that has underachieved all season and already have played in 18 games where the offense has produced two runs or less. The road has not been the place for the offense to accumulate runs, and we don't expect things to change in this one. The Twins have already plated four or less runs in half their home games on the season as well. Pettitte has pitched in eight of 11 starts this season to UNDER this total, and Hernandez has allowed three or less in seven of 12 starts. We like this one to go UNDER the posted total.

The Cleveland Indians are in dire straights. A team which was loaded with offense last year, is hitting just .234 as a team - more than 10 points lower than any other AL team. The last 11 on the road have produced just 27 runs or less than 2.5 per game. That makes it hard for any pitcher, including Aaron Laffey, to find the win column. Not too many pitchers with a 1.59 ERA own a 3-3 record, but the Indians simply can't score. The Rangers have found some magic as they have now gone 20-11 over a 31 game stretch, which includes six consecutive home series wins. Here we have hot vs cold and with a nice juicy dog, it's always worth a play.

The Indians as we mentioned above are having so much trouble scoring that the +1.5 runline on the Rangers at home has some extreme value. Cleveland is 1-9 in their last ten on the road, and 0-10 if laying 1.5, so we will also play this one on the run line as well.

The Mets are coming off an impressive 5-2 homestand but this one is not at Shea. Away from home the Mets have dropped six of their last seven games. Oliver Perez has in no way resembled the pitcher that won 15 games last season. He has walked 41 in just 59 innings and finds himself in constant trouble and high pitch counts. He has also never beaten the Giants (0-4 5.83 ERA). Sanchez has shown some good signs in his last three starts as he has managed a 2.84 ERA locating much better. We have to think there is value with the Giants at home here vs a struggling pitcher and a Mets team with a sharp negative tilt on the road.

Results: 1-3

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Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-June-01-2008
Milwaukee goes for the sweep of the Astros and we like their chances of getting it in what should be a high-scoring affair. David Bush is 1-5 with a 6.04 ERA. Milwaukee averages just 4.2 runs per game...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-30-2008
Chicago owns the best mark in the league at 33-21 and they have won four straight. We really like their chances today of getting #5 in a row. Yes, Aaron Cook goes for Colorado and he has been a l...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-29-2008
Atlanta has been two different teams. While dominating everyone at home, they have been dominated on the road where they are just 6-18 on the season. Jorge Campillo has come out of the bullpen to pitc...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-28-2008
The Rays continue to lead the AL East and now that we are almost a third of the way through the season, this feat is no longer labeled as a fluke. For the first time in their franchise history, the Ra...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-May-27-2008
It is tough mentally, when you see a team post double-digit runs in consecutive games, especially when the total is 35. The one thing about baseball however, is that the momentum can change with the n...