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Baseball Betting Picks - July 29, 2008We finished 2-1 yesterday grabbing +5.1 units. Yesterday's win included a +183 dog win on Toronto on the runline. Four more plays today. Today's MLB Baseball Picks: The Braves have been shelled for 34 runs in their last three games. The bullpen is decimated thanks to having to come in early and often (no started made it past the fourth inning in those three games). St. Louis has won two of their last three and their offense is clicking. They have the better offense and Wellemeyer has posted a 3.31 ERA in his last three starts. We like what the St. Louis offense can do here, especially when Campillo sits and this tired pen takes to the mound. Game: New York at Florida (7:10 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on Florida +119 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.6) While Oliver Perez was the Mets stopper on the road last season compiling an 8-4 mark, it has been a different story this season, where they stand at 5-6 in his road starts. There is no place like home for Scott Olsen, where the Marlins have been 8-4 in his 12 home starts while he has put up a sparkling 3.12 ERA. Florida has shown signs of heating up winning three of four with two of those wins were in Chicago where no one has been beating the Cubs. The Mets have been a hot team, but are showing signs of dropping off after losing two of their last three. We will back the Marlins as a divisional home dog here. Game: Seattle at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on Texas -1.5 runs +128 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.8) No one expected the Rangers to go this deep into the season above .500 and hanging in wildcard contention. They have done it by simply outscoring teams, especially at home, and especially against RHP. The Rangers have struggled against southpaws, where they are just 11-22, but against the righties Texas has been 43-30. The Rangers have exploded for 159 runs in their last 23 home games or nearly seven a game. This is a Seattle team that is just 5-13 over their last 18 games. In their last 52 losses they have lost by two or more runs in 39 of them or 75% of the time. There is lots of value with the high-scoring Rangers on the runline. Game: Chicago at Milwaukee (8:05 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on Milwaukee -1.5 runs +171 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.1) The Brewers and the Cubs square off in game 2 in Milwaukee tonight. The Brewers have put some heat on the Cubs as they are just two games back. The Brew Crew got there with the help of a 37-19 run in their last 56 games. The Cubs meanwhile, have settled back to just 17-19 in their last 36 games. A healthy Ben Sheets has allowed two runs or less in nine of his last 12 starts. Carlos Zambrano has also pitched well, but of the Cubs three losses in his home starts, two came at the hands of the Brewers, and he has only led the Cubs to a 5-4 road mark. The Cubs are just 7-13 in their last 20 on the road and 8-14 on the season when taking to the road against winning teams. Overall the Cubs have a 4-5 mark against winning teams with Zambrano on the hill, and just 1-3 on the road with Zambrano carrying a hefty 5.68 ERA in those games. The Brewers win this one comfortably, so we will opt for the runline value here. Results: 1-3 MLB Baseball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters: MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-28-2008 MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-27-2008 MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-26-2008 MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-25-2008 MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-24-2008 |
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