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Free Mlb Pick - July 29, 2007

Today we are back with three more selections with one runline play.

WUNDERDOG 2007 RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORTWINS-LOSSES%NET
MLB 190-144 last 334 picks 57%+$5030
NFL 229-191 last season 55%+$1890
TOTAL  +$6920

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Minnesota at Cleveland (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Minnesota +174 (risk 3 to win 5.2)

Matt Garza has pitched extremely well since being recalled from AAA, and looks like the pitcher the Twins expected him to be last season. Garza was 11-3 last season in the minors, and this season was 3-1 1.85 at AAA. He has already faced the Tigers, and shut them out for seven innings this season. The Indians have been struggling going just 9-12 since the July 4. The Cleveland offense opened the season having been held to 0 or 1 run just twice in their first 61 games. They have since seen that happen 12 times in their last 44 games, so they have not been able to solve a hot pitcher. C.C. Sabathia has pitched to a 4.80 ERA covering his last eight starts, and this moneyline is just way to high, so we will ride the Twins to make it back-to-back over the Tribe.


Game: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (1:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Chicago Cubs -1.5 +104 (risk 3 to win 3.1)

Aaron Harang was forced to leave in the first inning of last night's game for the Reds, which means the bullpen was depleted. That spells trouble as the Reds starter Matt Belisle, has not made it through the 5th inning in his last two starts, and carries a 6.41 ERA in his last 13 starts. The Reds are just 3-10 in those 13 starts, despite the fact they have averaged five runs a game for him. The Cubs have made a huge turnaround having gone 32-17 over their last 49 games, and one of the biggest reasons has been the pitching of Carlos Zambrano. Zambrano has not allowed more than five hits in any of his past 10 starts, and has pitched to a 1.57 ERA. He is now the NL leader in wins, and we look for him to log his 14th today.


Game: Detroit at Los Angeles Angels (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Angels +124 (risk 3 to win 3.7)

The Angels fell into a bit of a slide, but now have won three in a row, and appear ready to make a statement and sweep the Tigers at home. The Angel offense has caught fire, and has produced over 7-runs per game (RPG) over the last week. Dustin Moseley will be summoned from the pen and make just his third start of the season. He has made three appearances against the Tigers, covering 3.1 innings, and has not allowed a run. He faces a Tiger team that has now dropped five of their last six. The Tiger pitching has been brutal, allowing 76 runs in their last 10 games. Bonderman has pitched well, but the run support he has gotten is amazing. He started 8-0, and the Tigers averaged 10 runs a game in those starts. Things have a way of evening out, and in his last six starts the Tigers have plated just 20 runs. Bonderman is a career 4.5 ERA pitcher with a .500 record, so his 10-2 mark this season is a product of being on the mound at the right time. He has had his worst games, against the stronger offensive teams. Anaheim, Seattle, NY Mets, and Philadelphia scored 30 runs against the Tigers in his starts, or 7.5-rpg. The Angels are a hot offensive team right now, and carry a 34-16 home mark into this one. The Angels have done well going for the home sweep, as they are 5-2. The Tigers have not been in position to be swept on the road all season, so this is unfamiliar territory for them. Angels get the sweep.


MLB Baseball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-28-2007
The Jays staff has been very hot, leading to a 6-2 mark over their last eight games. They have allowed less than two runs a game over these eight games and tonight will bring Roy Halladay to the mound...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-27-2007
Are we crazy backing Minnesota here? They are on a down streak having lost seven of nine games. But, hang on - three of those losses came to Detroit in Detroit. All three were one-run losses. They the...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-26-2007
The Mets have awakened from mediocre play, and have now won 8-of-11, and are poised to sweep the Pirates. Oliver Perez has not allowed more than seven hits in any start since April, and his recent ERA...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-25-2007
The Orioles are not only a hot team right now having won 7 of 10, but they have a sizzling pitcher on the hill. Eric Bedard has virtually been unhittable of late. In his last three games Bedard h...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-24-2007
The Red Sox have not played well for nearly two months but that wasn't going to continue forever. They are now poised to run off some wins. The pitching has been steady all season and now the...

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