Mlb Baseball Pick Online - July 28, 2007

1-2 yesterday. Today we are back with three selections including another 5-unit play.

WUNDERDOG 2007 RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
MLB	190-141 last 331 picks	57%	+$6230
NFL	229-191 last season	55%	+$1890
TOTAL			+$8120

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Toronto -125 (risk 5 to win 4)

The Jays staff has been very hot, leading to a 6-2 mark over their last eight games. They have allowed less than two runs a game over these eight games and tonight will bring Roy Halladay to the mound. The Jays are 13-6 when he takes the mound. This is the best combination for the Jays - their ace and their lineup facing a LHP. It is no secret the Jays struggle against RHP, but are built to attack LHP. They are 18-11 on the season against southpaws, putting up 5.5 runs per game (vs. 4.5 against righties). Chicago gets just 4.3-rpg. When Halladay has started against a LHP the Jays are 5-1 this year, 9-3 last year and 4-1 in '05 or 18-5 the last three years. Some notable matchups? He has beaten Bedard twice, Sabathia and Santana twice, Randy Johnson and Buehrle this season already. With Halladay on the mound as a favorite of -100 to -150, the Jays are 16-4 the past two seasons. The Blue Jays own a distinct bullpen advantage here also (3.42 ERA vs. 5.91). Chicago is a losing team, even at home where they own a 23-27 mark. Hot team, hot pitcher and situational variables all come together in this one.

Don't look now, but the Rangers are 23-15 over their last 38 games and have played very well. Kevin Millwood is finally pitching up to his capacity, after missing a good stretch on the DL. Millwood has pitched to a 3.05 ERA over his last seven starts, and has not yielded more than four runs in any outing. Considering he allowed 4+ in eight straight prior to this, says a lot to where he is health-wise right now. Odalis Perez has allowed 4+ runs in over half his starts, and has an ERA that has been in the high fives all season long. He has only completed seven innings in three of his 21 starts, exposing a Royal’s pen that is suspect. The Rangers will even the series tonight.

We have been on this guy most of the season, and again see some huge value backing him. Aaron Harang has been a difference maker for the Reds when he toes the rubber. The Reds are now 17-5 (77.2%), when Harang takes his turn in the rotation, and winners of nine straight. The Reds are also 28-54 (34.1%) when he doesn't get the ball. The 43.1% change in winning percentage is the highest in MLB. The Reds have been a hot team, as they have won 4-of-5 on this home stand, and have now gone 8-1 in their last nine home games, eight of which have been against .500+ teams. The Cubs were hot for a longtime, and now have dropped two in a row, and 4-of-6. The offense has managed just three runs a game over the last week. We ride Harang once again, especially at basically even odds at home, where the Reds have been beating everyone.

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• View our updated baseball betting.
• Don't forget to visit our 2007 season MLB baseball handicapping preview.
• Check out 2007 baseball season picks here.
• View our updated Baseball Game Preview.
• View baseball betting approach here.
• Take a look at our sports handicapping mlb picks here.
• View MLB odds lines and spreads here.
• Don't forget to read our MLB ATS records here.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-27-2007
Are we crazy backing Minnesota here? They are on a down streak having lost seven of nine games. But, hang on - three of those losses came to Detroit in Detroit. All three were one-run losses. They the...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-26-2007
The Mets have awakened from mediocre play, and have now won 8-of-11, and are poised to sweep the Pirates. Oliver Perez has not allowed more than seven hits in any start since April, and his recent ERA...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-25-2007
The Orioles are not only a hot team right now having won 7 of 10, but they have a sizzling pitcher on the hill. Eric Bedard has virtually been unhittable of late. In his last three games Bedard h...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-24-2007
The Red Sox have not played well for nearly two months but that wasn't going to continue forever. They are now poised to run off some wins. The pitching has been steady all season and now the...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-23-2007
Minnesota ran into a buzz saw in Detroit in their series before the Angels. But, they took two of three from LA and swept Oakland prior to facing the Tigers. Overall, they have gone 22-16 over the pas...