Major League Baseball Pick - July 26, 2008

We finished 2-1 yesterday for another MLB winner. Today we feature four MLB plays including two 4-unit picks.

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Seattle at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Toronto -1.5 runs +144 (runline) (risk 2 to win 2.9)

The Mariners are back at what they have done best this season and that is losing! The latest streak has reached six games, and with it, the dubious distinction of becoming the worst team in baseball. A bad team playing at its worst presents a good opportunity to play the runline. Specifically against a hot and cold team that has turned hot as the Jays have now won four straight themselves and 10 of 14. The M's have churned out even poorer performances on the road turning out a 34% win rate, so we will back the Jays to win comfortably here.

Justin Duchscherer has the best ERA in all of baseball at an amazing 1.87. Over his last three starts he has been close to 1.5 runs a game. In 17 starts he has allowed more than six hits just once and has been consistent and impressive. Including what the A's pen has allowed, opponents have managed just 11 runs over his last seven starts or about 1.5 a game. It basically says if the A's find three runs this one has a good chance. If they find more, it is close to a certainty. We will play the A's on the runline, especially facing Matt Harrison who has pitched his last two games to teams scoring double digits each game.

No one has done a worse job on the road than the Padres this season as they enter this one with a 16-35 mark on the highway. Do you think teams feel a bit of resentment losing to them at home? The results may answer that as the Padres are 3-12 on the season in their next road game after winning one away. They have been outscored 74-41 in these 15 games, or by over two runs a game. They have been outscored by 70-26 in the 12 losses, or by almost four runs a game. The Pirates have been a very solid home team at 30-23 and should exercise a dose of revenge here.

The Reds have played better baseball of late as they have been 14-9 over their last 23. Colorado has fared much better of late as well, but their road mark is eye opening to say the least. The Rox are just 15-36 on the season including a 3-11 mark in their last 14. Jorge DeLaRosa hasn't exactly pitched them into many winning opportunities with a near seven ERA this season. The Rockies have been just 1-4 in his five road starts, with opponents scoring 42 runs in those five games. The Reds’ bats could have a field day in this one, so we will ride them on the runline here.

Results: 1-3

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• Don't forget to read our baseball blog here.
• View Baseball odds and lines here.
• Read our baseball ATS recrds here.
• Check out 2008 baseball prior picks here.
• Don't forget to read our 2008 baseball handicapping preivew here.
• Take a look at our Baseball sports handicapping philosophy here.
• View our updated baseball picks.
• Updated today: sports betting baseball.
• Hop over to our Baseball Game Analysis here.
• Take a look at our MLB record here.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-25-2008
The Pirates have been a .600 team in their last 40 home games with a 25-15 record. They have also been on a bit of a run lately where they have now won their last four by outscoring the opponent 34-13...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-24-2008
The road woes continue for the Nationals as they have now gone 3-12 over their last 15 away from Washington. The Giants continue their mastery over the Nats as they have now won all six games played t...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-23-2008
The Rockies’ offense is sizzling, especially at home and the wins keep piling up with it. The Rockies have now gone 10-2 in their last 12 at home and have scored 10+ in their last three games. T...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-22-2008
Not sure if this Atlanta team with a road record of 16-32 has the credentials to ever be favored on the road. So far the oddsmakers haven't agreed with us, but the results have. Atlanta has been f...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-21-2008
What a difference a year makes, as this San Diego team just keeps putting a bigger number in the loss column. After riding high on a season's best 13-6 run, the Padres have fallen back to what we ...