darrell,

Slumping now with just one winner again last night. Three picks tonight as we try work thorgh this.

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Game: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Milwaukee -139 (risk 200 to win 144)

The worst road team in the leauge goes tonight here with Pittbsugh. The starting pitching matchup is close to a wash as both Zach Duke and Dough Davis are under .500 with average overall ERAs and 6+ ERAs over their last three starts. But give the edge to Davis and the Brewers as he's got a better home ERA (3.73) than does Duke on the road (4.77). And, Davis is a lefty and that doesn't bode well for the Pirates who are just 6-27 vs. lefties this season. But, the big edge here is location. At home Milwaukee is 29-20. On the road Pittsburgh is 11-39. Brewers here.

The Twins are closing in on the White Sox as they've come storming out of the All Star break on a 9-1 tear. They've even shown some strength on the road taking 2 of 3 from Cleveland. They can build on this momentum tonight when they send Brad Radke to the mound. He's got a 3.32 ERA over his last three starts as compared to 6.75 for Javier Vazquez. Underdogs that are batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 54-33 (62%) in July games over the past five seasons. And, home favorites of up to -150 with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are just 13-34 (28%) in July games over the past decade. Hot Twins here.
(34-13 since 1997.) (72.3%

The Cards have won 11 of their last 13 games and own a 5-1 mark vs. the Rockies this season. The Rockies have the better starter in Jeff Francis here but I'm not sure it's going to matter. They just can't seem to find a way to win lately (5-13 in July) and St. Louis is again knocking the cover of the ball. They beat the LAD by a combined score of 14-2 in their last series and are averaging 5.9 runs per game over their last seven games. Not good for Colorado who are 1-9 in the second half of this season vs. teams scoring 4.8+ runs per game. Cards here.