darrell,

Three picks tonight...

WUNDERDOG 2006 RESULTS (UNITS)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	UNITS
MLB	48-24 last 72 picks	67%	+13.8
NFL	87-62 last season	58%	+25
CBB	174-128 last season	58%	+46
NHL	208-140 last season	60%	+24.6
NBA	207-197 last season	51%	+10
CFB	66-61 last season	52%	+5
TOTAL			+124.4

Check out my 12-month performance here.

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Good luck today...

Game: Seattle at New York Yankees (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on New York Yankees -169 (risk 200 to win 118)

With Boston losing, New York's current run is very meaningful in the AL East. The Red Sox have dropped seven of their last eleven while New York has won seven of eight. The result is that New York has climbed within a half a game of the Red Sox. Their momentum will carry into this opener against Seattle. Chien-Ming Wang goes for the Yanks and he's 6-1 on the season at home. He's facing Jarrod Washburn who is just 1-5 on the road. Seattle struggles against good pitchers (they are 19-44 over hte past two seasons vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.300 or better). New York pounds left-handed pitchers to the tune of .300 BA and 6.2 runs per game. Over their past seven games they are averaging 6.7 per game while Seattle is averaginge 2.7. Yankees and Wang here.

Here we have two teams that had their problems in the first half but are now back on-track. Atlanta has won five straight and seven of eight. St. Louis has won seven in a row. This one comes down to home field advantage. Over the past three seasons, Atlanta has won 5 of 9 at home but just 2 of 6 here in St. Louis. Cardinals bats have come alive during this streak as they are scoring 6.1 per game. At home their bullpen is excellent (3.29 ERA) while Atlanta's is poor on the road (5.15 ERA). Atlanta has been scoring heavily of late but allowing nearly six runs per game. St. Louis has been allowing just 2.7 per game of late and 4.1 per game at home on the season. Jeff Weaver has been terrible for St. Louis this season but his counterpart, Horacio Ramirez, is just 8-20 on the road the past two seasons. During the second half of the season over the past two years, he's 5-14 overall and 0-7 vs. high scoring teams (4.8+ runs per game). Weaver, on the other hand, is 22-8 vs. high scoring teams. Road teams at +125 to -125 with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities facing a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse are just 25-71 (26%) since 1997. Also, favorites of -125 to -175 starting a pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 72-22 (77%) over the past ten years. Cards here.

Eric Schmidt is 4-0 at home with a 2.05 ERA. Zach Jackson is 1-1 on the road with a 7.64 ERA. The Brew Crew are 16-28 on the road giving up nearly 6 runs per game. Their bullpen is awful and over their past seven games they've managed just 3.3 runs per game. Jackson hasn't seen action since July 7th and underdogs starting a pitcher who gives up 7 or more hits/start working on 7+ days of rest are just 26-89 (23%) over the last 5 seasons. Giants here.