darrell,

Got all three yesterday boosting our record over the past four weeks to 48-24 (67%) for +29.5 units. Three picks today.

Check out my 12-month performance here.

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Good luck today...

Game: Washington at Pittsburgh (1:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Pittsburgh -118 (risk 200 to win 170)

The Pirates pulled it out as one of our picks yesterday and I like them again here for the sweep. As bad as they are on the road, Pittsburgh is decent at home where they are playing nearly .500 ball. They score 5.3 runs per game at home and their bullpen plays very well (3.37 ERA). Washington has lost five straight and they are a 38% road team. They are allowing over 8 runs per game over their past seven games and seem lost. Livan Hernandez has been weak this year and he's gotten tagged of late allowing 22 hits and 13 earned runs in his last three starts. Back to the bullpens. Pittsburgh's is solid at home while Washington's is not on the road (5.08 ERA). It was the difference yesterday as Pittsburgh won late. The Pirates have actually won 10 of 13 games at home this season when facing a poor bullpen with an ERA of 4.50 or greater. Road teams at +125 to -125 with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities facing an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse are just 15-54 (22%) over the past decade. Hernandez hasn't seaen action since July 6th and underdogs starting a pitcher who gives up 7 or more hits/start that hasen't pitched in 7+ days are only 23-88 (21%) over the past five seasons. Pirates for the rare sweep.

The Angels have knocked out 10 wins in their last 11 games, averaging 6.3 runs per game over the stretch. Their offense, absent most of the first half of the season, has been reborn behind Vlad Guerror. In July he's hitting .405. Bartolo Colon is just 1-4 this season but that's primarily due to LA's lack of offense which shouldn't be an issue today vs. Casey Fossum (6.65 road ERA). Tampa is awful on the road (17-32) and they are averaging just 2.7 runs per game over their last seven. Home favorites of -175 to -250 batting .265 or worse on the season after a win by 4 runs or more are 65-11 (86%) over the past decade. Angels should coast through this one.

The Phillies have notched three wins in their last four games but two of those came against Pittsburgh at home. Overall they've lost 21 of their last 30 and 12 of their last 15 on the road. Brett Meyers has pitched pretty well overall this year but comes off a three game stretch with a 6.28 ERA. He's also 0-3 with a 14.40 ERA vs. the Giants. Matt Cain has perfomed about the same. Philly has the bullpen advantage and the offenses here are about even. This primarily comes down to momentum and home field advantage and I like the Giants.