Mlb Free Picks - August 21, 2009

We missed the mark with our MLB picks last night, posting a loss. We put last night in the rearview and move on to today's card, where we have picks in two games (four picks total) including two 4-unit plays.

Over the last two months, we are up +153 units at 173-110 for 61% winning!

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
WNBA	79-67 last 146 picks	54%	+$710
MLB	174-113 last 287 picks	61%	+$14650
NBA	299-237 last 536 picks	56%	+$12460
NFL	72-44 last 116 picks	62%	+$7320
TOTAL			+$35140

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: Milwaukee at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington +110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.3)

The Brewers lost Ben Sheets and CC Sabathia from last year's playoff team, but didn't skip a beat and surprised early by leading the NL Central. Reality has dealt a blow to those early-season hopes and surprises, and the Brew Crew now finds themselves back to reality. That 25-14 start has turned into a bad 33-48 mark in their last 81, and recently really falling off the cliff by losing four straight, and just 16-27 in their last 43. That includes just 8-18 in their last 26 on the road. That puts the suddenly hot Nationals in prime position as a dog at home here, as the Nats are 15-10 in their last 25, but they are also 14-7 in their last 21 against a team with a losing record. I'll go with the Nats to win this one.

There has been a distinct role reversal for these teams over the last month. The Brewers, once 25-14, have fallen fast and hard and are now just 33-48 in their last 81, and 16-27 in their last 43, including 8-18 on the road. The Nats have been plenty hot at home, and when you consider them on the +1.5 runline, they would be 10-1 in their last 11 at home. That is troublesome to a Brewer team that appears to have cashed it in, and has dropped four straight. I'll go with Washington on the runline in this one.

The Dodgers have been the team to beat all season in the NL West. While the Cubs, expected to do big things, have found the road to the 2009 playoffs full of land mines. The Cubs used a good 16-6 stretch to push themselves over .500, but have gone back to struggling once again, as they are just 4-10 since. The offense continues to be a problem, and they have scored three runs or less in nine of the 14 games. Last night's loss to the Dodgers moved the Cubs to 10 games under .500 on the road, and now 14-37 in their last 51 as a dog, and have dropped six straight to teams with a winning record. The Dodgers meanwhile, continue to feast at home where they are now 62-27 in their last 89 as a home chalk. The Cubs had huge revenge motive for the playoff sweep at the hands of the Dodgers last year, and couldn't get it done. That makes the task here even more difficult. The Dodgers get the call.

The Dodgers are churning out wins as a home chalk at the rate of 70% winners. Randy Wolf on regular four days rest has turned in a superb 21-7 mark for the Dodgers in his last 28 starts. The Cubs' big failures have come against a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or less, as they are just 5-18 in their last 23 against top pitchers. And as good as Wells has been, he can't turn the tide as the Cubs are 0-4 with him on the mound as a dog. The Cubs' bats have been quiet on the road, and in their last 15 road losses, 14 of the 15 have been by two runs or more. I also like the Dodgers on the runline here.

Results: 1-3

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• View our 2009 MLB baseball prior picks season results here.
• Hop over to our blog baseball picks here.
• View our how to bet mlb here.
• Take a look at our baseball prior predictions here.
• View MLB Baseball Game-of-Day Analysis here.
• Updated today: mlb sportsbook.
• Don't forget to read our MLB Baseball spreads here.
• Read our free baseball picks here.
• Don't forget to visit our MLB ATS records.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-20-2009
The Seattle Mariners hung in the wildcard race for quite awhile, but are slipping fast. This team that lost over 100 games last season is vastly improved, but now face the rest of the season without a...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-19-2009
I keep saying this over like a broken record, but the oddsmakers can't make the Tampa lines at home chalky enough to take away the value. The Rays have been sizzling at home compiling an 83-34 mar...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-18-2009
The Indians have waited a longtime for Fausto Carmona to pitch the way he did in '07, when he won 19 games. He has battled through injuries, rebuilding arm strength, and appears to be back where h...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-17-2009
The Brewers started the season apparently not missing the big losses in their rotation, but it has caught up to them. Tonight it will be sometimes starter, and sometime-reliever Carlos Villanueva. Vil...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-16-2009
The Blue Jays are just 24-34 on the road this season and in division games they are downright awful, having gone 16-28 on the season, scoring only 4.0 runs per game. At home, the Rays rock. They are 3...