MLB Baseball
Premium Edition |
August 15, 2006 |
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darrell,
We went 2-0 yesterday and now 70% over the past week. Three picks tonight...
| WUNDERDOG 2006 RESULTS (UNITS) |
| SPORT | WINS-LOSSES | % | UNITS | | NFL |
4-2 Season-to-Date |
67% | +2 |
| MLB |
14-6 last 20 picks |
70% | +3.8 |
| NHL |
208-140 last season |
60% | +24.6 |
| CBB |
174-128 last season |
58% | +46 |
| NBA |
207-197 last season |
51% | +10 |
| CFB |
66-61 last season |
52% | +5 |
| TOTAL | | | +91.4 |
Check out my 12-month performance here.
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Game: Baltimore at New York Yankees (7:05 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 stars on New York Yankees -171 (risk 200 to win 117)
Baltimore comes in off a sweep by the Red Sox. THey've lost six of seven games. It's no wonder as Baltimore is really a poor team on the road, especially against division opponents. The Orioles are 21-36 away from home scoring 4.4 per game. They are 18-32 against division opponents. Their bullpen is horrible, especially on the road (5.60 ERA). The Yankees in contrast are 38-21 at home and 26-16 vs. division opponents. They face left-hander Erik Bedard today and they hit lefties very well (5.9 runs per game). Bedard has a 5.34 ERA with a 5-6 record on the road and he's 2-11 in August games over the past two seasons. . Mike Mussina goes for New York and he's got a 13-5 overall record that is 7-2 at home. Yankees here.
Game: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:15 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 stars on Toronto -214 (risk 400 to win 187)
Roy Halladay vs. a 47-71 team? Yeah baby. Halladay is having another awesome year at 14-3 with a 3.23 ERA. But, he's even better on the road than at home! He's 6-1 with a tiny 2.85 ERA on the road, going nearly 7 innings per start. He's facing a pitcher who has a 1-4 home record (3-8 overall). Tampa Bay has dropped six straight games scoring 2.6 runs per game over that span. They only get 4.0 per game vs. right handed starters. Back to Halladay - Toronto is 21-1 with him on the mound vs. teams that score 4.7 or less runs per game over the past two seasons. And, Tampa is 1-16 this season vs. a starting pitcher with an ERA under 3.50. Doesn't get much better than that.
Game: Arizona at Colorado (9:05 PM Eastern) Pick: 1 star on Arizona +137 (risk 100 to win 137)
Colorado's been on decent run of late winning four of six. But, I like the visiting Diamondbacks here. Miguel Batista has a winning 5-3 record on the road and backing him up is a bullpen with a 3.83 road ERA. Arizona scores 4.9 per game on the road vs. 4.8 for Colorado at home. Home favorites of up to -150 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better facing a opponent with a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.70 to 5.20 are just 18-41 (30%) over the last 5 seasons. And Colorado doesn't fare well against high scoring teams. They are 4-14 in the second half of this season vs. teams scoring 4.8+ runs per game. Jason Jennings, over the past three seasons is 0-12 in that situation! Road dog here.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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The Wunderdog
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