Free Mlb Picks - August 07, 2009

Over the last eight days we are up +38 units as we are sitting at 21-8 (72%). But that's not all as we are up over +100 units over the last seven weeks, at 130-91 (59%). Today we are back on the bases with four premium picks.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
WNBA	60-48 last 108 picks	56%	+$1580
MLB	130-91 last 221 picks	59%	+$10020
NBA	299-237 last 536 picks	56%	+$12460
NFL	72-44 last 116 picks	62%	+$7320
TOTAL			+$31380

Today's MLB Baseball Picks:

Game: St Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 7 +110 (risk 4 to win 4.4)

The Cards are certainly glad to see Chris Carpenter back to form after being sidelined by injuries. Carpenter has pitched to a 2.10 ERA on the season, and 11 of his 17 starts have resulted in seven runs or less being scored in the game. What makes this one even more valuable to the UNDER is the fact that over his career he has absolutely dominated this Pirates team with a 10-1 record and 2.06 ERA. The Cards are at their worst on the road against lefthand pitching where they rank near the bottom of the league in run production. I like this one to go UNDER the total.

The Milwaukee Brewers looked like contenders early on in the NL Central, when it was thought that the departures of Sheets and Sabathia would leave them on the outside looking in. That has happened as the season has progressed as those holes have taken their toll, and the Brewers are just 21-31 over their last 52 games. It will be up to one of those fill-ins, Charles Villanueva, to stem the tide, but he is an unlikely source. Villanueva has pitched to a 6 ERA on the season, has a 2-8 record, and has made but two starts with neither lasting more than five innings. The Astros may have found something in Bud Norris, who went on the road and shutout a tough Cardinals team for seven innings. The Astros have been solid at home, winning 10 of their last 14 against a righthand starter. I'll back them here in this one.

The Seattle Mariners always knew they had a future star in Felix Hernandez, and this season that star has begun to shine. Hernandez has been the key figure in a team that went from 102 losses a year ago, to within striking distance this season of a wildcard berth. Hernandez is 12-4 with a 2.68 ERA, and has already blanked this Tampa lineup through seven innings earlier in the season. The Rays have been a force at home, but such has not been the case on the road, where they are a losing team. The Rays are six games under .500 this season on the road, and 75-156 in their last 231 games, and just 3-8 in their last 11 against a team with a winning home record. Mariners strong with king Felix on the hill at 9-1 in his last 10 starts. I'll go with the Mariners here.

The Mariners are quite an effective team with Hernandez on the mound. They have now won nine of his last 10 starts. Over Hernandez’s career, the Mariners sport a flawless 5-0 mark against the Rays when he starts against them at home. Couple this with the Rays road futility that sees them six games under .500 on the road, and 75-156 over the last 231 games on the highway, and getting 1.75-1 odds on the Mariners to cash a two-run win certainly is enticing, so I'll ride with them here on the runline.

Results: 2-2

MLB Baseball Picks Resources:

• Check out our updated 2009 baseball pick season results.
• Read our blog baseball picks here.
• Check out Baseball sports handicapping philosophy here.
• Check out our updated MLB previous picks.
• Check out MLB Baseball Game Analysis here.
• Check out mlb sportsbooks here.
• Don't forget to read our MLB odds lines and spreads here.
• Hop over to our sports handicapping mlb picks here.
• Take a look at our baseball ATS standings here.

Check out the last five MLB Baseball Picks Newsletters:

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-05-2009
The Minnesota Twins were expecting a return to form of the Francisco Liriano that dominated AL hitters before surgery. It just hasn't materialized and at this point there are more questions than a...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-04-2009
The Toronto Blue Jays have really been struggling, and it is a struggle that even the arm of Roy Halladay can't solve. The Jays once sat atop the American League East, and have fallen flat. The Ja...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-August-01-2009
Washington is 32-71 overall and 12-38 on the road. And we get to fade them at even money? I'll take that all day long. It's not as if we are backing an equally bad team here. The Pirates are a...

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-31-2009
The Mets have struggled with injury issues all season long, and have finally begun to get hot as they have now won five of their last six games. The D-Backs are just 5-10 in their last 15 on the road....

MLB-Baseball-Picks-July-30-2009
The Orioles have to feel good after beating Zack Grienke last night, scoring seven runs in the process. The Orioles have been a better-than-average team as long as they are playing at home where they ...