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Slight profit yesterday as our underdog came through. Four picks tonight.

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Game: Chicago White Sox at Toronto (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Chicago White Sox +148 (risk 200 to win 296)

Tough to go against Roy Hallady. He's 13-2 overall and 7-1 atg home with a 3.22 ERA. But, here's a spot. We get the White Sox with Jon Garland who is 11-3 overall and 8-2 on the road. Over his last three starts he's very hot having gone 3-0 with a 3.10 ERA. He's also 20-9 over the past two seasons vs. winning teams and 12-2 as a road underdog over that same span. If anyone can hit Halladay it's Chicago. They score 5.7 per game on the road and 6.0 per game against right handers. And, they have averaged nearly 7 runs per game over their last seven games. Toronto's bats are ice cold right now averaging .228 and 2.7 runs per game over their last seven games. Can't see them having much success against Garland. Home teams after being swept in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are just 30-57 (34%) over the past decade. Road underdogs of +125 to +175 starting a pitcher with a WHIP between 1.300 to 1.400 are 34-17 (67%) during August over the last 5 seasons. Takes a lot to fade Halladay at home but you won't see Garland as a dog this big again for a long time. Take it.

This matchup is too even for one team to be laying -140. Atlanta is 28-29 on the road and Cincinnati is 27-28 at home. Chuck James (4.15 road ERA) and Aarron Harang (5.20 home ERA) have performed about evenly this season. Atlanta's bullpen has a 5.11 road ERA while Cincinnati's boasts a 5.73 home ERA. Atlanta has the edge offensively, scoring 5.6 per game on the road while Cincinnati manages just 4.9 per game at home. Both teams are strugglilng right now as both are 2-5 in their last seven games. But, three of those losses for the Braves came against a very good Mets team on the road. Cincinnati has lost five straight including two against Milwaukee and three against the Dodgers. Edge again to Atlanta. I see a lot of small edges for Atlanta here and to boot we are getting them as a decent dog. Braves in this one.

Curt Schilling hasn't had much success this season in Tampa Bay as two of his 4 losses have come here. But, he's won 13 games and has a 3.84 ERA overall. James Sheilds goes for Tampa and Boston beat him here 12-5 on July 6th. Sheilds pitched well in June but in July he was 0-5 with a 7.26 ERA. Boston hits righties to the tune of 5.9 runs per game and they score 6 per game vs. division foes. Tampa Bay scores 4.4 per game and just 4.2 vs. righties. Red Sox to exact some revenge here in Tampa.

Winning home team here (27-25) getting near even-money vs. losing road team (22-31). We are getting such good odds here thanks to a poor outing by Anibal Sanchez last game out and LA's six game winning streak. But let's look deeper at why I believe Florida should be a much bigger favorite. Derek Lowe is average at best this season. He has a 4.84 road ERA and a 2-4 record. Over his last three starts he's been shelled for 14 runs in 16 innings. Sanchez is 4-1 with a 3.25 in his six starts. Backing him up is an bullpen that plays great at home (3.46 ERA). The Dodgers come off a great game thanks to Greg Maddux in which they blanked the Reds. But, LA is just 1-10 this season following a game in which they allowed 2 or less runs. They are also 6-13 on the road at -100 to -125. Good value on the Marlins here.

Chris Young was hammered three games ago when he gave up 7 runs in 3 innings to Atlanta. Since then though he went 11 innings surrenduring 4 runs vs LAD and Colorado. Overall he's 9-4 ont he season with a 3.57 ERA. Washington counters with Ramon Ortiz who is 7-9 and 0-2 vs. the Pads. I like San Diego to get their 15th win out of the last 17 games in this series. That's right, San Diego has won 14 of 16. San Diego isn't scoring a lot of late but this is a team against which they can break out of their slump. Washington has allowed 6.4 runs per game over their last seven games and they are 22-36 on the road, allowing 5.2 per game, on the season. San Diego here.