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Kentucky Derby Handicapping - December 18, 2007

We had a decent day at Calder yesterday including a trifecta hit (1-5-4) for $56 as well as the superfecta (1-5-4-7) for $141.60.

Calder is closed today, but we'll stay in Florida and move a bit north, to Tampa Bay Downs for four races.

Today's Best Bet is #8 Zara's Storm in Race #8 at Tampa Bay Downs.

Monday's Results: Calder Race #6 Top Pick Winner #3 (Po Purr E.) Paid $4. Exacta (3-11) Paid $28.40 (Only had 2 of our 4 horses run).

 

Calder Race #10 Best Bet Winner #1 (Victory at Shiloh) Paid $4.60. Exacta (1-5) Paid $13.20. Trifecta (1-5-4) Paid $56. Superfecta (1-5-4-7) Paid $141.60.

Today's Horse Racing Picks:

TAMPA BAY Race #TWO (1:00 PM Eastern)

(# 3) DEVIL SLAM - Nicely bred filly (Grand Slam) started her career in the fine barn of Patrick Biancone. Goes out today for Dale Bennett - one of the perennial leaders in the standings here. Starts in here off a May layoff. Training well, this is the lowest claiming level she has ever run. Bennett is 29% successful with his new stock.
(# 12) Lightening Point - Goes second off a Charlie Fontana claim, and cuts back in distance for this. Has been competitive sprinting against better, and she draws a good post.
(# 11) Galaxy Wind - Drops considerably, cuts back, and switches surfaces. A win contender if she can handle the dirt.
(# 2) Gaelic Gold - Competitive in last, her first try at this tag. Needs to step it up to contend for the win, but is a tri and super possibility.

TAMPA BAY Race #SIX (2:40 PM Eastern)
(# 6) L'S LIGHTNING - Drops back in for a tag for Gerald Bennett. Has speed and some back class. Daughter of "Storm Boot" is training superbly for this start. Good chance at a mild upset.
(# 1) Trainee - Training in sensational style as she returns to her favorite surface. She's three-for-five here, and 0-for-6 elsewhere. Saves all the ground in here, and makes a late run at them.
(# 2) Bright Pyrite - Had a profitable summer and fall competing in a series of Ohio-bred stakes at various distances. Has been idle since Oct. 20, but is training forwardly for this.

TAMPA BAY Race #EIGHT (3:40 PM Eastern)
(# 8) ZARA'S STORM - Training well for his first start in four months. Field is a weak one, and if ready off the bench, he should beat these. Trainer is 33% with this type of layoff.
(# 6) Touch of Cat - Drops and shortens up for this attempt. Excellent drill on Dec. 8 indicates that something better is on the way.
(# 3) Mr. Meadowlark - Caught a sloppy track in last at Calder, his first try against winners. Defeated maidens in handy fashion in previous run. May do much better today.
(# 4) Two Seater - Has some speed and has been doing quite well at Beulah Park. Would need to really step it up to get more than a minor award.

TAMPA BAY Race #TEN (4:35 PM Eastern)
(# 2) FOREST FEVER - Great race at Hawthorne on Nov. 8 at a $17,500 level. Stalked the pace and drew off handily. Gelding by "Forestry" started his career in the Todd Pletcher barn. Takes these from close range.
(# 12) Bello Papa - Ran well here last winter for Gerald Bennett. Came back in the fall at Presque Isle and did well. Draws a good slot and has been working steadily.
(# 6) Islandprospectbob - Smashing maiden win at Remington Park off a nine-month vacation. Son of "Suave Prospect" has the best last race of any. Tested for class today.
(# 8) Even Par - Lightly-raced colt ran a pair of sub-par races at Delaware this summer, his only two starts since this meeting last winter. Training well since coming south, he fits if ready.

Horse Racing Picks Resources:


Check out the last five Horse Racing Picks Newsletters:

Horse-Racing-Picks-December-17-2007
Calder Race #FOUR (1:45 PM Eastern)(# 7) TANGANYIKA - Returns to competition for the Pletcher barn after 2 1/2 months on the sidelines. Showed enough ability in his three races to warrant attention. B...

Horse-Racing-Picks-December-16-2007
TURFWAY PARK Race #ONE (1:10 PM Eastern)(# 9) BRIDE FOUR A GROOM - Filly makes her first start since a good run on this track at this tag on Sept. 26. Working well for the return and she may have some...

Horse-Racing-Picks-December-15-2007
AQUEDUCT Race #ONE (12:30 PM Eastern)(# 6) SPEEDBALL HOWIE - Speed has been king here over the past two weeks when the track has been fast. This colt was beaten to the top in last by a runner on the r...

Horse-Racing-Picks-December-14-2007
FAIR GROUNDS Race #ONE (1:35 PM Eastern)(# 7) HAWAII CALLS - Sharpened on grass Nov. 16 off a layoff and trainer change to a top barn. Tired late after setting pressured, fast pace in debut. Wide trip...

Horse-Racing-Picks-December-13-2007
AQUEDUCT Race #TWO (12:50 PM Eastern)(# 3) HOT ROUTE - Raced between runners in Philly Park debut run against maiden specials. Blinkers go on and drops into a claimer, both good moves for trainer Tony...

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