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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
NHL Hockey Premium Edition
March 24, 2006

darrell,

1-1 last night as our underdog couldn't quite pull it out. One pick tonight.

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Keep your head up and stick on the ice, darrell!

The Wunderdog

 
Premium Picks

Game: Chicago at DALLAS (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 stars on Dallas -400

Yes, I know this is a very large line. But, I'm laying it anyway. I just can't resist as Dallas wins this game 9 out of 10 times. The Stars are 24-7 vs. Chicago over the past ten years and 6-0-1 over the past three. In games in Dallas, they are 13-4 and 3-0 respectively. Chicago, 9-25 on the road, is allowing 4 goals per game away from home. Their scoring has been mediocre at best this season and has only gotten worse of late. Chicago finds ways to win games by blowout or close call. Their last three losses have each come by one goal. Dallas meanwhile scores 3.3 per game and over their last five games, they've bumped that up a notch while holding opponents to 2 goals per game. Big road underdogs of +200 or higher that have been outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game have won just 1 game out of 26 over the past decade if they are coming off 2 straight close losses by 1 goal. Chicago is terrible off closes losses as a whole (1-18 the last three years off a 1 goal loss). Dallas has won 8 of 10 and they make it 9 of 11 in easy fashion here.


Resources

NHL Hockey Resources

  2005 NHL Preview
  Up-to-Date NHL Hockey ATS Records
  NHL Hockey Game-of-the-Day Preview
  Live NHL Hockey Lines
  Latest NHL Hockey News

Pass It On
How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
Pass It On

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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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