NHL Hockey
Premium Edition
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March 24, 2006
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darrell,
1-1 last night as our underdog couldn't quite pull it out. One pick tonight.
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Keep your head up and stick on the ice, darrell!

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Game: Chicago at DALLAS (8:35 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 stars on Dallas -400
Yes, I know this is a very large line. But, I'm laying it anyway. I just can't resist as Dallas wins this game 9 out of 10 times. The Stars are 24-7 vs. Chicago over the past ten years and 6-0-1 over the past three. In games in Dallas, they are 13-4 and 3-0 respectively. Chicago, 9-25 on the road, is allowing 4 goals per game away from home. Their scoring has been mediocre at best this season and has only gotten worse of late. Chicago finds ways to win games by blowout or close call. Their last three losses have each come by one goal. Dallas meanwhile scores 3.3 per game and over their last five games, they've bumped that up a notch while holding opponents to 2 goals per game. Big road underdogs of +200 or higher that have been outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game have won just 1 game out of 26 over the past decade if they are coming off 2 straight close losses by 1 goal. Chicago is terrible off closes losses as a whole (1-18 the last three years off a 1 goal loss). Dallas has won 8 of 10 and they make it 9 of 11 in easy fashion here.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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The
Wunderdog
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