NHL Hockey
Premium Edition
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March 5, 2006
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darrell,
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2-0 yesterday and 64% over the last 64 picks. Two more picks today.
Keep your head up and stick on the ice, darrell!

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***ANAHEIM -226 over Columbus (4:05 Eastern)
Went against Columbus yesterday and will do so again today. This team is horrific on the road, now just 8-24 on the season after yesterday's loss. Over the past decade, they are 6-42 on the road vs. teams that score 2.85+ goals per game (the Ducks average 3.2 per game at home). Anaheim's offense has fallen off of late but a sign of a good team is when their defense picks up the slack in that situation. Anaheim has done just that, allowing just 1.8 goals per game over their last five games. Road teams off 2 straight close losses that close poorly (outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period) are 4-29 (12%) since 1996 in the second half of the season. Three stars on Anaheim to crush the Jackets.
*St. Louis +265 over VANCOUVER (10:05 Eastern)
OK, I was right on St. Louis a couple of nights ago and wrong last night. Overall, with these lines we are getting though, we'll make a lot by splitting wins and losses. Tonight we again get St. Louis as a huge underdog and again I see value. They have already beaten the Canucks in all three of the first meetings. They have outscoured Vancouver 12-3 in those meetings. They won as underdogs of +310, +210 and +200. Why not again tonight? Home teams off a road win scoring 4 or more goals are just 25-43 (37%) in March games over the last 5 seasons. One star on St. Louis.
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much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
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