NHL Hockey
Premium Edition
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February 11, 2006
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darrell,
Three picks today.
Keep your head up and stick on the ice, darrell!

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***NEW JERSEY -230 over NY Islanders (1:05 Eastern)
The Devils haven't lost at home in their last eight, matching a team record. New York has lost three of four and doesn't match up well here. New York lost to New Jersey 4-0 on January 24th and the Islanders are just 3-15 this season playing an opponent they lost to in the last matchup. If the opponent scored 4+ goals on them, NY is just 1-10 in the next matchup. New York is giving up 3.6 goals per game and 4 goals per game over their last five. New Jersey is scoring 4 per game over their last five. Three stars on New Jesery.
**Tampa Bay -101 over BOSTON (7:05 Eastern)
While Tampa Bay hasn't won in Boston in 12 years, this game should be different. Boston has lost three of four and Tampa Bay has won four of their last five. Boston is scoring just 2.2 points per game over their last five games while Tampa is scoring 4.0 per game. Tampa's road record (15-15) is better than Boston's home record (11-16). I like the even money play here on the better team. Two stars on the Lightning.
**NASHVILLE -252 over Columbus (8:05 Eastern)
Columbus has come back down to earth losing 2 of 3 while Nashville has had a very bad go of it over their last eight games going 2-6. I come back to Columbus' road woes. They are 8-21 away from home this season, scoring 2.4 goals per game and allowing 3.8. When on the road facing an excellent power play offense like Nashville's (20.3% conversion), the Blue Jackets have won just 15% of the time over the past ten years. Meanwhile, Nashville this season is 16-3 at home vs. poor defensive teams like Columbus (allowing 2.85+ goals per game). The Predators are 15-5 winning by an average score of 3.8 - 2.4 in division games this season. Finally, home favorites off 3+ losses vs. an opponent off a loss are 75-30 (71%) over the last 5 seasons. Two stars on Nashville.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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Good Luck.
The
Wunderdog
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