NHL Hockey
Premium Edition
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February 3, 2006
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darrell,
Ohhh. What a night last night! Got the 5-star and 4-star and went 9-2 on a star basis overall. One pick tonight.
Keep your head up and stick on the ice, darrell!

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***Toronto -131 over WASHINGTON (7:05 Eastern)
Toronto has dropped 9 of 10 while Washington, 10 of 15. Something's gotta break here and I like the Maple Leafs on the road. Belfour is struggling but he is 7-1-2 in his last ten games vs. Washington. Washington's power play defense is atrocious (22.9% on the season and 45.8% over their last five games) and Toronto does well against such opponents (22-5 over last ten years vs. teams allowing 19%+ in second half of the season). They are also 14-1 in the second half of the season vs. teams that have been outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals per game. Toronto's offense can score - it's their defense that is terrible. But, Washington's offense, scoring just 2 goals per game over their last five, won't be able to take advantage. And, Toronto gets to go against a defense that is allowing 3.8 goals per game on the season. Losing home underdogs off a road loss are just 24-82 (33%) over the last 5 seasons during the second half of the season. Three stars on the Leafs here.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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