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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
NHL Hockey Premium Edition
January 21, 2006

darrell,

NHL picks now 14-4 over the past two weeks. Five picks today.

Keep your head up and stick on the ice, darrell!

The Wunderdog

 
Premium Picks

**Detroit +105 over COLORADO (2:05 Eastern)

Colorado was on fire - until their last game when they lost to the struggling Blackhawks. Now they get a team that really has a legit shot at beating them again. Detroit doesn't often find itself an underdog but when it is, it takes advantage. The Red Wings are 9-1 as a dog over the last three seasons. This will be a great game as both teams are averaging 3.7 goals per game on the season. If Colorado's defense plays like it has recently, they should win. But, I like Detroit in the dog role. Two stars on the Red Wings.

**Carolina -170 over WASHINGTON (7:35 Eastern)

Carolina continues to roll having now won nine straight. Washington has reeled off three straight victories but will have a tough go of it here. Carolina rocks weak teams. They are 12-1 this season vs. teams that have been outscored by .3+ goals per game. They are 20-5 against teams that allow 17.5%+ power play conversion. And, they are 19-3 vs. teams that that allow 30 or more shots on goal per game this season. Road favorites of -200 or less at 60%+ on the season off a home game where both teams scored 3 or more goals are 33-8 (81%) since 1996 when facing losing teams. This is just a huge mismatch and I like Carolina to take it down. Two stars ont he Hurricanes.

***NASHVILLE -285 over Columbus (8:05 Eastern)

Big line here but for a reason. Nashvilel is 7-3 over the last three seasons vs. Columbus including 3-1 here at home. On the road, Columbus is getting beaten on average by a score of 2.4 to 3.8. Nashville is crushing division opponents by 2 goals per game this year on way to an 11-2 record. Horrible road teams off an overtime win are 11-39 (22%) since 1996. Nashville for three stars.

**Edmonton -110 over PHOENIX (9:05 Eastern)

Edmonton has struggles losing 4 of their last five gaes. But, favorites having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 69-19 (78%) in the second half of the season over the last 5 seasons. The Oilers have a strong offense and Phoenix's weakness is defense. The Coyotes are allowing 4 goals per game over their last five. Two stars on the Oilers here.

***ANAHEIM -160 over Florida (10:35 Eastern)

Florida has won only 4 of 25 road games as an underdog this year. Against good offensive teams like Anaheim (those averaging 30+ SOG per game), Florida is just 1-13. Florida scores just 2.2 per game on the road while alowing 3.6. Anaheim scores 3.3 per game at home, bolstered by 19% power play conversion and 33 shots on goal per game. Three stars on the Ducks.

Resources

NHL Hockey Resources

  2005 NHL Preview
  Up-to-Date NHL Hockey ATS Records
  NHL Hockey Game-of-the-Day Preview
  Live NHL Hockey Lines
  Latest NHL Hockey News

Pass It On
How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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