Back to the winning ways last week as we got 60% for the weekend. This Sunday there are four picks, including two OVER/UNDERs. We haven't done any totals since the preseason but I spent a lot of time this week looking at the results of every single game played this year and and uncovered an OVER/UNDER system that is 15-2 over the past ten weeks. Two picks qualify this week and we'll go with them as well as two side picks.

WUNDERDOG 2008 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
MLB	17-12 last 29 picks	59%	+$1180
NFL	16-11 last 27 picks	59%	+$900
WNBA	0-1 last 1 picks	0%	($300)
TOTAL			+$1780

My Week 15 NFL Computer Simulations are available for viewing. These simulations are based on a Super Computer playing each game tens of thousands of times. Use them as an input to your handicapping - not a replacement. The computer can't take into account emotion or situations which are critical to successful NFL handicapping.

Good luck!

**Kansas City/NY GIANTS OVER 46.5 (5:00 Eastern Saturday)

The Chiefs rank tops in the league in yards per game at 391. They are averaging over 6 per play which ranks only behind the Rams. And, they can put up points (25.3 per game). Their defense, while much better than last year, is still lacking. It is giving up 354 yards per game, 6 yards per play and over 22 points per game. The G-Men have one of the top offenses in the league as well, scoring 26.5 per game. At home they are scoring 30 per game. They should light up the scoreboard in this one. Their defense is pretty average and is susceptible against good offenses. San Diego put up 45 against them and St. Louis, Denver, Minnesota and Seattle all scored 23 or more. Kansas City is 8-1 OVER versus good offensive teams that average 350+ yards/game over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 OVER in December games over the last 2 seasons. Two stars on the OVER.

***Philadelphia +3.5 over ST. LOUIS (1:00 Eastern)
**Philadelphia/ST. LOUIS OVER 43

In a "who cares" game between two non-playoff teams, sparks should fly. These teams have nothing of significance to play for and as a result, they are going throw caution to the wind. St. Louis loves to air it out anyway, especially at home. And, their defense is non-existent this season. It's ranked only ahead of San Francisco as they are allowing 370 yards per game and over 29 points per game. The Rams start their rookie for the third straight game and so far he has thrown six interceptions in his last two starts. Philadelphia's offense isn't horrible and they should score quite a bit in this one. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are allowing 24+ points per game, coming off a close loss are 4-2 ATS this season and 73% lifetime. I like the Eagles against the rookie QB and terrible defense. Two stars on the Eagles and two stars on this game to go OVER the posted total in a shootout that Philly keeps close and possibly wins.

*DETROIT +8 over Cincinnati (4:05 Eastern)

Yeah, this one takes heart. It's hard to back Detroit and hard to go against Cincinnati. But, the Bengals have shown a propensity to play down to their competition this season. Last week they nearly lost to Cleveland. Overall, in their four games in which they have been touchdown or higher favorites this season, they are just 1-3 ATS. In their one win, they let Baltimore score 29 on them. Baltimore hasn't scored more than 19 against any of their other opponents! Cincinnati can't be too interested in this game against Detroit. But, Detroit is not so bad at home, especially on defense. They have held opponents there to 18.4 points per game. A lot of Cincinnati's success has come from forcing turnovers. In games in which they've forced less than 3 turnovers, they are 1-4-1 ATS. Detroit isn't very turnover-prone, having committed 3+ turnover just three times in 13 games. And, these things usually even out over time - how long can they continue to get so many turnovers? Cincinnati's 24th ranked defense will allow a struggling Detroit offense to actually get some traction here. The Bengals offense will certainly produce but Detroit's defense at home, and their pass defense which isn't terrible (ranked 10th) will give them a shot to keep this within reach. Detroit's horrible play of late, and the success of favorites this season, have inflated this line a couple of points and forced it over the "magic" 7 point threshold. It really should probably be about 6.5 but at +8 we are getting a lot of value. One star on the Lions plus the points.